738
FNUS74 KMOB 241129
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Desoto Burn Block 7207 Buttercup Flats...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
629 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 75 EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE
BURN AREA...

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions are expected today with scattered
showers and storms over a portion of the area following for
Saturday. Afternoon relative humidity values remain above
critical levels today and Saturday. Transport winds will be
mostly southwesterly to southerly today and southwesterly to
westerly on Saturday. Dispersion index values will be generally
good to good today and fair to good on Saturday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...1189-1798 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 4 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....45 increasing to 75.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........49     40     35     33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1
Temp............84     89     91     91
RH..............67     56     50     50
20 FT wind dir..SSW    SSW    SSW    SSW
20 FT wind spd..6      8      10     10
20 FT wind gust.10     14     15     16
Mix hgt (ft)....3900   5100   5900   5600
Mix hgt (m).....1190   1550   1800   1710
Transp wind dir.SSW    SSW    SSW    SSW
Transp wind spd.10     12     13     15
Trans wind dir..SSW    SSW    SSW    SSW
Trans spd (m/s).4      5      6      7
Dispersion idx..45     64     74     73
LVORI...........3      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1707 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 16 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 4 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....73 decreasing to 7.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........24     17     12     30     47     62
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............87     80     76     74     73     72
RH..............59     77     87     97     100    100
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      SSW    SSW    SW
20 FT wind spd..9      7      6      5      5      3
20 FT wind gust.14     12     9      8      7      6
Mix hgt (ft)....5600   1000   1000   500    500    500
Mix hgt (m).....1710   300    300    150    150    150
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      SSW    SSW    SW
Transp wind spd.16     14     13     12     9      10
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      SSW    SSW    SW
Trans spd (m/s).7      6      6      5      4      4
Dispersion idx..73     6      5      6      6      5
LVORI...........1      4      6      7      8      9

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1676 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 4 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 60.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........55     48     41     30     22     17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............72     76     84     90     94     93
RH..............100    90     72     56     46     47
20 FT wind dir..SW     SW     SSW    SSW    SSW    SSW
20 FT wind spd..3      5      6      7      7      8
20 FT wind gust.6      7      9      10     12     13
Mix hgt (ft)....500    1200   2700   4300   5200   5500
Mix hgt (m).....150    370    820    1310   1580   1680
Transp wind dir.SW     SW     SSW    SSW    SSW    SSW
Transp wind spd.8      9      10     10     10     12
Trans wind dir..SW     SW     SSW    SSW    SSW    SSW
Trans spd (m/s).4      4      4      4      4      5
Dispersion idx..4      18     34     48     55     60
LVORI...........9      4      3      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...13
Requested by...Cliff Willis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415032.0/MOB
.DELDT 05/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL clifton.willis@usda.gov