859
FNUS74 KMOB 221108
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Chick 412, 420...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
608 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry forecast expected today and tomorrow at the burn
site. Minimum relative humidity remains well above critical thresholds.
Transport winds turn southeasterly late this morning and then southerly
by this afternoon and remain southerly on Thursday. Afternoon dispersion
will be generally good both days.

Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy fog is possible through 9am
this morning and is possible again in the pre-dawn hours Thursday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...1036-1585 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....43 increasing to 67.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........19  18  18  17  17  16  16  25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............80  83  85  86  88  88  89  88
RH..............69  61  53  50  47  47  47  48
20 FT wind dir..SSE SSE S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 4.0 4.6 4.9 5.2 5.1 5.0 5.0
Mix hgt (km)....1.0 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  12  12  10  12  12  12  12
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).4   5   5   4   5   5   5   5
Dispersion idx..43  54  62  65  66  68  66  66
LVORI...........2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1524 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....66 decreasing to 5.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........34  43  48  52  57  58  60  61  67  72  78  73
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............86  83  77  74  72  71  70  69  68  68  68  67
RH..............53  59  71  76  81  84  87  90  93  93  93  97
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   5   5   5   3   3   3   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   7   7   7   5   5   5   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...5.0 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....1.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW S   SSE S   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.12  10  10  12  10  8   8   8   8   7   9   8
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW S   SSE S   SW  SW
Trans spd (m/s).5   4   4   5   4   4   4   4   4   3   4   4
Dispersion idx..66  5   6   7   5   5   4   4   4   3   3   3
LVORI...........1   3   3   3   4   5   6   7   7   8   8   9

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1433 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 53.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........67  62  59  57  54  48  42  36  30  25  19  24
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............67  68  70  75  79  82  84  87  88  90  90  90
RH..............97  97  93  82  74  67  61  53  52  49  49  49
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.3   3   5   5   7   7   8   8   8   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 1.2 1.7 2.5 3.1 3.6 4.2 4.4 4.5 4.7 4.7
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4
Transp wind dir.SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   7   10  13  14  14  12  10  10  10  10  10
Trans wind dir..SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).4   3   4   6   6   6   5   4   4   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..3   7   16  29  44  53  54  54  52  51  52  52
LVORI...........9   8   5   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...13
Requested by...Rodney Landrum
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414864.0/MOB
.DELDT 05/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Rodney.landrum@usda.gov