Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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185
FNUS74 KMOB 041051
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for EP BU12...Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation
National Weather Service Mobile AL
551 AM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on June 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms can
be expected each day from late morning into the evening hours at
the burn site. Minimum relative humidity values will remain well
above critical thresholds, dipping into the lower 60`s today and
tomorrow. Transport winds remain southerly at 7 to 13 mph today
and Wednesday. Afternoon dispersions will remain generally good
around 40 to 45 today and Wednesday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Light, patchy fog can`t be ruled
out late tonight into Wednesday morning.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph early in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-914 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 42.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........49  43  48  52  57  52  48  44  40  37  33  37
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).50  30  30  30  30  30  30  50  50  50  50  50
LAL.............3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............74  76  79  82  85  87  88  88  88  88  88  87
RH..............90  85  79  72  67  63  61  61  61  61  61  63
20 FT wind dir..SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   5   6   7   8   9   10  12  12  12  12  10
20 FT wind gust.7   7   9   10  12  14  15  16  17  16  16  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 2.2 2.5 3.0 2.8 3.0 2.8 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.SSE SSE S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   8   12  12  12  13  13  12  12  12  13  13
Trans wind dir..SSE SSE S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   5   5   5   6   6   5   5   5   6   6
Dispersion idx..6   16  28  37  37  40  41  41  42  42  43  43
LVORI...........7   5   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................3 until 1900, then 2 until 0100, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-884 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....43 decreasing to 7.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........41  45  42  38  34  39  43  47  41  36  30  29
Weather cov.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).50  20  20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............3   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............85  84  82  80  79  78  77  77  75  75  75  75
RH..............65  67  72  77  79  82  85  85  90  87  87  87
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..9   8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.13  12  9   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 1.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7
Mix hgt (km)....0.9 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.S   SSW S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.12  12  10  10  10  9   8   8   7   8   8   8
Trans wind dir..S   SSW S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..43  8   7   7   6   6   6   7   6   5   5   5
LVORI...........2   4   4   4   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the morning.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1 until 0700, then 2 until 1300, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...183-853 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 41.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  26  29  32  35  36  38  39  36  33  30  28
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10  20  20  20  20  20  20  30  30  30  30  30
LAL.............1   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............74  76  79  83  85  87  88  89  89  89  89  87
RH..............90  85  79  72  70  65  63  61  61  61  61  65
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW SSW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   6   7   8   10  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.7   7   8   9   10  13  14  16  16  17  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.0 2.0 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW SSW
Transp wind spd.7   7   9   10  10  10  12  12  12  12  12  12
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW SSW
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
Dispersion idx..4   13  24  30  33  36  40  43  44  45  45  45
LVORI...........7   5   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...25
Requested by...Robert Neighbors
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415582.0/MOB
.DELDT 06/04/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL robert.neighbors@myfwc.com