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000
FNUS74 KMOB 281013
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for GUIS Naval Live Oaks...National Park Service
National Weather Service Mobile AL
513 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on April 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HIGH/LOW DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 75 EXPECTED THIS MORNING OVER THE
BURN AREA...

.DISCUSSION...Southeasterly surface and transport winds are
expected today through tonight. Humidity values are expected to
remain well above critical values. Today is expected to be rain
free, with a chance of rainshowers and thunderstorms expected Monday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 16 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 35
                    mph in the morning and early afternoon.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...396-732 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 21 to 30 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 9 to 13 meters/second.
Dispersion index....25 increasing to 75 by mid morning, then
                    decreasing to 52 by evening.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........35  40  44  42  60  61  62  53  51  46  39  35
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............72  72  73  75  76  76  78  76  78  78  78  76
RH..............84  81  79  76  74  74  69  74  69  71  69  74
20 FT wind dir..ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE SE  ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE
20 FT wind spd..23  23  23  23  23  23  21  20  18  18  18  18
20 FT wind gust.35  32  33  33  33  32  30  28  26  26  25  25
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.6 2.0 2.0 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.0 1.8 1.8
Mix hgt (km)....0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.30  30  30  30  29  28  25  23  22  21  21  21
Trans wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Trans spd (m/s).13  13  13  13  13  13  11  10  10  9   9   9
Dispersion idx..25  42  71  75  71  71  66  62  61  58  52  52
LVORI...........4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 12 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...274-549 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 20 to 22 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 9 to 10 meters/second.
Dispersion index....52 decreasing to 13.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........29  26  24  22  19  13  11  5   4   8   15  17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............76  73  73  73  73  71  71  71  73  71  71  73
RH..............74  81  79  81  81  87  87  84  79  84  81  76
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..17  16  16  15  15  14  13  13  13  13  14  15
20 FT wind gust.25  24  23  22  22  21  18  18  18  18  20  21
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1
Mix hgt (km)....0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SE  SSE SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.21  22  21  22  21  20  21  20  21  21  21  21
Trans wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SE  SSE SE  SE  SE
Trans spd (m/s).9   10  9   10  9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
Dispersion idx..52  18  16  16  14  14  13  13  14  14  14  15
LVORI...........2   3   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   4   4   4

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 13 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...366-549 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 20 to 23 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 9 to 10 meters/second.
Dispersion index....16 increasing to 53.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........19  31  37  41  46  49  51  52  55  57  60  62
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............71  72  72  74  75  77  77  77  77  77  77  75
RH..............84  84  84  82  79  76  79  79  79  76  76  82
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..15  15  15  16  15  16  16  16  16  16  17  16
20 FT wind gust.22  22  23  23  23  23  23  23  24  24  24  23
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7
Mix hgt (km)....0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE SSE SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE
Transp wind spd.22  21  23  23  21  22  21  20  20  21  21  21
Trans wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE SSE SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE
Trans spd (m/s).10  9   10  10  9   10  9   9   9   9   9   9
Dispersion idx..16  29  47  57  55  53  52  51  50  49  48  48
LVORI...........4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...16
Requested by...Robert Vick
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412531.4/MOB
.DELDT 04/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Robert_Vick@nps.gov,scworthi@gmail.com