Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
575 FNUS73 KMPX 171133 FWSMPX Spot Forecast for Loen NE...FWS National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 633 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on May 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... Any stray showers should be moving out this morning, allowing skies to mostly clear out. Temperatures could make a run up into the 90s depending on how much persistent sunlight we see today. This would allow RH values to drop as low as the upper 20s by this afternoon. Winds will be light this morning, but will pick up in strength this afternoon out of the south, with gusts up to 15-20 mph possible at times. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Temperature.........78 at ignition...Max 87. RH..................45 percent at ignition...Min 27 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 9 mph at ignition...otherwise South winds 9 to 13 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair /23300 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...excellent /103200 knot-ft/ increasing to excellent (129700 knot-ft) late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 8700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 12 to 20 mph. Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated fire growth at ignition...max 6. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............78 82 85 86 87 87 87 86 83 77 75 73 RH..............45 40 34 29 27 27 27 30 34 43 46 51 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S SW SW SW SW S S S 20 FT wind spd..9 9 10 12 13 12 10 9 10 13 14 16 20 FT wind gust.15 15 16 18 20 18 17 16 17 20 22 24 Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 3.7 6.0 7.4 8.1 8.7 7.9 2.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 Transp wind dir.S S SW SW S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.12 12 15 16 18 20 18 16 17 18 21 21 Haines index....6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3 am. Temperature.........Min 64. RH..................Max 67 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 9 to 17 mph becoming around 13 mph after 3 am. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms after 3 am. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (127200 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to good (35700 knot-ft) late in the night decreasing to poor (8400 knot-ft) early in the evening. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 16 to 22 mph. Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Temperature.........Max 73. RH..................Min 28 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 13 to 16 mph shifting to the northwest 17 to 21 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8800 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (89300 knot-ft) in the afternoon increasing to excellent (107200 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest around 16 mph increasing to west 22 to 31 mph early in the morning. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. $$ Forecaster...Dettmann Requested by...Millette Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2414489.0/MPX .DELDT 05/17/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL phil_millette@fws.gov