642
FXUS64 KOHX 121535
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1035 AM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Thursday)
Issued at 1026 AM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

A surface ridge is aligned just south of the Ohio Valley this
morning, leaving Middle Tennessee with a dry, stable atmosphere.
The ridge will gradually slide across the region during the next
couple of days and we can expect summer-like heat to build over
the mid state as a result.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday Night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1026 AM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

The forecast is rain-free through Sunday night. Of particular note
is Sunday, when afternoon temperatures are expected to top out
near 100 degrees, but we do expect enough moisture advection to
lead to additional cloudiness and low POP`s beginning on Monday,
and also slightly cooler temperatures. Perhaps "not as hot" would
be more accurate, as the 6-10 day and 8-14 outlooks continue to
favor above normal temperatures for Middle Tennessee. QPF totals
for days 6-8 (nothing prior to day 6) are coming in under 1/4"
across most of the mid state. So the rainy pattern that persisted
throughout May and the first week of June has definitely shifted.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 630 AM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

VFR conditions over the next 24 hrs with the exception of some
patchy fog possibly causing some reduced visibility`s for KSRB
tonight. Light winds today with a few gusts around 10 kts this
afternoon with peak daytime heating.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      87  61  92  67 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    84  58  88  64 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     81  59  85  64 /   0   0  10   0
Columbia       85  59  92  65 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     81  60  87  65 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      81  59  86  65 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   84  60  90  65 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   86  60  92  66 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        83  58  89  64 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Rose
LONG TERM....Rose
AVIATION.....Cravens