Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
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572 FXUS64 KOHX 101625 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 1125 AM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Tuesday Night) Issued at 1115 AM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024 After a foggy start to the morning, the area is clear with pleasant temperatures for this time of year. Highs this afternoon will top out in the mid 70s to lower 80s. There is a dry surface front currently in southern Illinois through the Ohio River Valley that is diving south. This will bring a slightly cooler and drier air mass into our area for tonight and tomorrow. Lows tonight will be in the low to mid 50s with even a couple spots touching the upper 40s on the Upper Cumberland Plateau. There could be a few patches of fog near dawn but dew point spreads are slightly higher than this morning and the HREF is showing only a few patches of decreased visibilities. Expect more clear skies and northerly winds tomorrow as surface high pressure slides by the area to the north. We will have one more cool night Tuesday night with temperatures in the 50s before we start the summer warm up. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday through next Monday) Issued at 1115 AM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024 Temperatures will begin an upward trend on Wednesday with highs in the low to mid 80s, but the first noticeable difference will be on Thursday with a large part of the area getting to 90 or above as upper ridging influences start spreading eastward into Tennessee. The ridging influences will only get stronger on Friday as it moves eastward. By Saturday afternoon the upper high will be parked over Middle Tennessee. Highs in the mid 90s Friday through Sunday look reasonable. In addition to the increase in temperatures, dew points will slowly climb from Thursday into the weekend. By Sunday the center of the upper high will be east of the area with some weak southerly flow increasing moisture. Some heat index values Sunday afternoon could touch 100 degrees. As far as rain chances, the best we are looking at is some isolated activity on Sunday, but not all of the guidance agrees that will happen. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 601 AM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024 Patchy dense fog that is bringing IFR/LIFR conditions will lift over the next 1-3 hours and then we will see VFR conditions today. Northerly winds increase to 5-10 knots for the afternoon. Fog is less likely tonight but some patchy fog will still be possible mainly in valleys and near water ways. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 82 57 81 57 / 0 0 0 0 Clarksville 79 53 78 54 / 0 0 0 0 Crossville 75 49 74 51 / 0 0 0 0 Columbia 83 55 81 53 / 0 0 0 0 Cookeville 77 52 75 53 / 0 0 0 0 Jamestown 76 49 74 51 / 0 0 0 0 Lawrenceburg 82 55 79 54 / 0 0 0 0 Murfreesboro 83 54 80 53 / 0 0 0 0 Waverly 81 54 79 54 / 0 0 0 0 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Reagan LONG TERM....Reagan AVIATION.....Mueller