775
FXUS64 KOHX 111135
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
635 AM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 136 AM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024

Upper level ridge will build in today and that is going to bring
some great weather. Current dew points are in the low to mid 50s
and will remain comfortable today. With the drier air we will see
less fog this morning compared to yesterday but still could see
some patchy fog in fog prone areas. Highs today will reach the mid
70s to around 80. A short wave will push out of TX later in the
day into Wednesday. This short wave won`t impact our weather much
but will bring some high level clouds in the evening into
tomorrow. Highs on Wednesday will be slightly warming pushing into
the mid 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday Night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 136 AM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024

A strong four corners ridge of high pressure will start to push
east late in the week into the weekend. This will bring a big warm
up for Middle TN with highs pushing to around 90 on Thursday and
warming above 90 Friday into the weekend. Humidity will increase
some with dew points pushing back into the 60s. The APEX of the
ridge will be overhead on Sunday and that will likely be the peak
of heat in the forecast with highs pushing into the mid to upper
90s and heat indices above 100. Surface high pressure will slowly
push off to our east later Sunday into early next week bringing
southerly flow. This will push more humidity into the region with
dew points pushing into the 70s and increased instability. We
won`t see much in the way of forcing to kick anything off but it
does look like we could see a few popup storms in the afternoon
Monday and Tuesday. Strong upper level ridge looks to remain over
the area throughout the week next week keeping the warm weather
in place with highs in the 90s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 633 AM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024

Some patchy fog over portions of the Mid State this morning, but
it is quickly mixing out as the sun rises. Widespread VFR
conditions are expected over the next 24 hrs. Winds will be light
out of the N.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      81  57  86  61 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    78  53  84  59 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     75  51  81  58 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       80  54  86  58 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     75  53  81  59 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      74  52  81  56 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   79  54  84  59 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   80  53  86  59 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        79  55  84  58 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Mueller
LONG TERM....Mueller
AVIATION.....Cravens