911
FXUS64 KOHX 111549
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1049 AM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Wednesday)
Issued at 1042 AM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024

Surface high pressure is centered to our north, with Middle
Tennessee still on the "cool side" of the ridge. The spring-like
temperatures we are currently enjoying will not last much longer.
During the next couple of days, the surface ridge will slide
across the mid state, and summer will then come at us quickly.
Until then, the atmosphere remains very dry. (The morning
Precipitable Water at OHX was only 0.44", which is close to a
record low value for June 11.)

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday Night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1042 AM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024

By Thursday, many Middle Tennessee locations will reach 90 degrees
or better. Temperatures will keep increasing through Sunday, when
expected highs will get very close to triple digits. Beyond
Sunday, there are low rain chance beginning on Monday, but the
models really start to diverge at this point; we might not see
rain until later in the week, in fact. While temperatures will
back off somewhat next week, we will stay above normal for the
foreseeable future. Even the 8-14 day outlook keeps us above
normal.

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 633 AM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024

Some patchy fog over portions of the Mid State this morning, but
it is quickly mixing out as the sun rises. Widespread VFR
conditions are expected over the next 24 hrs. Winds will be light
out of the N.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      81  56  86  61 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    78  53  83  58 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     75  51  82  58 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       80  54  86  58 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     75  53  82  58 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      74  51  82  57 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   79  54  84  59 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   80  54  86  58 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        79  55  84  58 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Rose
LONG TERM....Rose
AVIATION.....Cravens