539
FXUS64 KOHX 111732 AAA
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1232 PM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Wednesday)
Issued at 1042 AM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024

Surface high pressure is centered to our north, with Middle
Tennessee still on the "cool side" of the ridge. The spring-like
temperatures we are currently enjoying will not last much longer.
During the next couple of days, the surface ridge will slide
across the mid state, and summer will then come at us quickly.
Until then, the atmosphere remains very dry. (The morning
Precipitable Water at OHX was only 0.44", which is close to a
record low value for June 11.)

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday Night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1042 AM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024

By Thursday, many Middle Tennessee locations will reach 90 degrees
or better. Temperatures will keep increasing through Sunday, when
expected highs will get very close to triple digits. Beyond
Sunday, there are low rain chance beginning on Monday, but the
models really start to diverge at this point; we might not see
rain until later in the week, in fact. While temperatures will
back off somewhat next week, we will stay above normal for the
foreseeable future. Even the 8-14 day outlook keeps us above
normal.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1227 PM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024

Generally VFR Conditions can be expected over the next 24 hours
with a few northerly wind gusts up to 15kts through 00Z. Do not
think FG will be as widespread of an issue overnight although can
not rule out some reduced visitibilities towards sunrise at KSRB
mainly.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      56  86  61  92 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    53  83  58  88 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     51  82  58  86 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       54  86  58  91 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     53  82  58  87 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      51  82  57  86 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   54  84  59  90 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   54  86  58  92 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        55  84  58  89 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Rose
LONG TERM....Rose
AVIATION.....Hurley