Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
777 FNUS55 KTWC 080929 FWFTWC Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona National Weather Service Tucson AZ 229 AM MST Sat Jun 8 2024 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ .DISCUSSION...Mid level moisture in place will bring a slight chance of mainly dry thunderstorms east of Tucson through the weekend. These storms will generally be dry and can produce gusty and erratic winds along with lightning. High temperatures running 2-4 degrees above normal into early next week and then becoming hotter towards the middle of the week. Expect min RH values of 4-9 percent in the lower elevations and 8-15 percent in the mountains through the middle of next week, along with poor overnight recoveries between 20-35 percent in most locations. Outside of any thunderstorm outflows, 20-foot winds will generally be 10 mph to 20 mph with gusts around 30 mph for today and for some locations on Sunday. Elevated fire weather concerns during the afternoons and into the early evening for the rest of the weekend. By Monday, 20-foot winds will follow typical diurnal patterns into the middle of next week, with afternoon/early evening gustiness due to strong surface heating. AZZ150-082330- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150 Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County- Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC- 229 AM MST Sat Jun 8 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........97 to 107 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............6 to 16 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............13838 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........South 14 to 18 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (249084 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............22 to 32 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. .SUNDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........94 to 104 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............7 to 17 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South around 20 mph decreasing to around 10 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............13481 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........South 14 to 16 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (215696 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 5 to 14 pct. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 100 to 110. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 4 to 10 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 102 to 112. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 5 to 10 pct. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 68 to 78. Highs 101 to 111. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 98 to 108. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT LOCATION (2550 MSL) $$ AZZ151-082330- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151 Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County- Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County- Santa Cruz County-TDC- 229 AM MST Sat Jun 8 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............6 to 11 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............10281 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 14 to 17 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (174777 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............21 to 31 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 15 mph increasing to south around 25 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. .SUNDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............6 to 12 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............10505 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........South 15 to 16 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (168080 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 6 to 11 pct. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 5 to 10 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 98 to 108. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 6 to 11 pct. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 97 to 107. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 94 to 104. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION (3500 MSL) $$ AZZ152-082330- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152 Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to 5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation- Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC- 229 AM MST Sat Jun 8 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............5 to 10 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............15076 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........West 11 to 15 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (226140 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........63 to 73 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............18 to 28 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................2. * Haines Index.............6 or high. .SUNDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........89 to 99 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs. * Min Humidity.............6 to 12 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................2. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............15460 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 13 to 16 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (247360 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 90 to 100. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 12 pct. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 95 to 105. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 5 to 10 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 63 to 73. Highs 98 to 108. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 6 to 10 pct. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 98 to 108. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 64 to 74. Highs 95 to 105. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL) $$ AZZ153-082330- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153 Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County- White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF- Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC- 229 AM MST Sat Jun 8 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............7 to 13 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip.........0 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............11884 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........West 12 to 15 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (178260 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. * Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............21 to 31 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. .SUNDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........78 to 88 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............11 to 21 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the southeast in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip.........20 pct. * LAL......................3. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............13748 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........West 9 knots shifting to the south 13 knots in the afternoon. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (178724 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 80 to 90. Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 14 pct. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 54 to 64. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 6 to 11 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58 to 68. Highs 88 to 98. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 6 to 11 pct. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 88 to 98. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 86 to 96. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL) $$ AZZ154-082330- Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154 Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC- 229 AM MST Sat Jun 8 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. * Max Temperature..........81 to 91 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............6 to 14 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................1. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............15912 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 12 to 16 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (222768 knot-ft). .TONIGHT... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Min Temperature..........59 to 69 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Max Humidity.............18 to 26 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................2. * Haines Index.............6 or high. .SUNDAY... * Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. * Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs. * 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs. * Min Humidity.............7 to 15 pct. * 24 hr Trend...........Little change. * Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL Wind........South 15 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip.........10 pct. * LAL......................2. * Haines Index.............6 or high. * Mixing Height............16323 ft agl. * Transport Winds..........Southwest 15 to 16 knots. * Ventilation Category.....Excellent (253006 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 55 to 65. Highs 80 to 90. West wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 14 pct. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 84 to 94. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 6 to 12 pct. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 88 to 98. Northwest wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 7 to 13 pct. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 88 to 98. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 61 to 71. Highs 85 to 95. NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson