Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD
150 FNUS73 KABR 290934 FWSABR Spot Forecast for Jensen WPA...USFWS National Weather Service Aberdeen SD 434 AM CDT Wed May 29 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on May 29. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...today should be dry. And there should be plenty of sunshine throughout the day. Wind will maintain a southeast (130-150 degrees) direction today, but the speed will steadily increase. At ignition time, wind speed should be generally light, less than 10 mph. But, by late this morning (10AM-Noon) sustained southeast winds will be closer to 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph possible. By late afternoon, sustained winds should be closing in on 20 to 25 mph, with gusts of 30 to 35 mph possible. Afternoon relative humidity values should dry out into a 35 to 40 percent range. Outlook...there is a cold front passing through the burn site late in the day on Thursday, switching the wind around to a west direction. Until then, breezy to windy south to southeast winds are expected to persist. Also, leading up to this frontal passage, precipitation chances including thunderstorms start showing up Thursday morning, continuing into late Thursday evening. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). CWR.................0 percent. Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 71. Min humidity........36 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 15 mph increasing to 16 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......400-4400 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 18 mph shifting to the south 20 to 21 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3200 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (76500 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 4 or (very low) to (low). TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........2 1 1 1 1 1 3 4 5 5 5 4 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............47 48 50 53 59 62 64 66 68 69 71 71 RH..............86 85 83 77 60 54 48 45 42 39 36 36 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..6 7 9 10 13 14 15 16 18 18 20 20 20 FT wind gust.13 14 15 17 20 22 24 25 26 28 29 30 Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.4 2.1 2.9 3.8 4.1 4.3 4.4 4.3 4.3 Smoke Dispersal.PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). CWR.................6 percent. Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 56. Max humidity........72 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 17 to 22 mph with gusts to around 36 mph. Mixing height.......500-4200 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southeast 17 to 24 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (75100 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (7600 knot-ft) late in the night. Haines Index........4 (low). TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........4 4 6 9 12 19 22 24 23 28 37 45 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 Temp............71 69 67 63 61 59 59 58 58 57 57 57 RH..............36 40 47 56 58 62 62 62 62 64 67 67 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S 20 FT wind spd..20 18 18 17 17 18 18 20 20 21 22 22 20 FT wind gust.31 30 29 29 30 31 31 32 32 33 35 36 Mix hgt (kft)...4.2 1.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 Smoke Dispersal.GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent) then becoming cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely in the morning. Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Rain showers in the afternoon. CWR.................7 percent increasing to 73 percent. Chance of pcpn......80 percent. LAL.................2 until 1000, then 3. Max temperature.....Around 68. Min humidity........67 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 20 to 24 mph shifting to the southwest around 17 mph late in the afternoon. Gusts up to 38 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing height.......600-1900 ft agl. Transport winds.....South 23 to 31 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12700 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to fair (47500 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 4 or (very low) to (low). TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........51 61 67 76 80 85 85 84 86 88 90 88 Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Chc of pcpn (%).30 50 50 50 70 70 70 70 70 70 80 80 Temp............56 58 60 61 62 63 64 65 65 66 66 65 RH..............72 72 69 72 72 70 70 70 73 70 70 73 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S SW 20 FT wind spd..22 23 24 24 24 24 24 23 22 21 20 17 20 FT wind gust.36 36 37 38 38 38 37 36 35 33 31 29 Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.8 1.6 1.8 1.5 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.7 Smoke Dispersal.PR PR PR PR FR PR FR PR PR FR FR PR $$ Forecaster...Dorn Requested by...Jade Drause Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2415261.0/ABR .DELDT 05/29/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL jade_drause@fws.gov