Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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432
FNUS73 KDLH 311041
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for BWCA SAR...St. Louis County EM
National Weather Service Duluth MN
541 AM CDT Fri May 31 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 CDT on May 31.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Search site and General Ely Forecast -

A stray lingering shower or two (20% chance) through about 7 AM,
with conditions then turning dry for most of the day. Can`t rule
out some isolated showers again this evening into early tonight,
but chances are only around 20-30%. Additional rainfall amounts
look minimal, on the order of only a few hundredths. Light
southwest winds this morning increase to around 10 mph this
afternoon with gusts of 15 to 18 mph at times. Temperatures remain
mild, with lows in the upper 50s this morning warming to the low
70s today and then dropping back to around 50 degrees tonight.

Off chance (20%) for isolated to widely scattered showers and a
thunderstorm or two for a few hours Saturday afternoon. Little
additional rain accumulations expected. Similar warm temperatures
in the low 70s on Saturday with west-southwesterly winds around 10
mph with gusts into the upper teens Saturday afternoon.

Ely Visibility and Ceilings -

Brief period of MVFR ceilings through around 8 AM this morning
and then improve to VFR for the remainder of today. Expect VFR
conditions to continue this evening/early tonight despite light
showers in the area.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers early in the morning. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Chance of thunder...8 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Southwest winds 8 to 10 mph.
Ceiling (kft).......2.4 increasing to 23.
Visibility (sm).....10.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MC
Weather cov.....CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).40  30  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............56  56  60  62  65  67  70  71  72  73  72  72
RH..............84  96  87  78  65  52  42  34  30  28  26  29
Surface wnd dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.8   8   8   8   8   9   9   10  10  10  10  9
Surface wnd gst.12  12  12  13  14  16  16  17  17  17  17  15
Ceiling (kft)...2.7 2.4 2.5 18  19  23  24  25  25  25  25  25
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the evening. Chance of
                    rain showers late in the evening, then slight
                    chance of rain showers after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Chance of thunder...7 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Southwest winds 6 to 9 mph.
Ceiling (kft).......22 decreasing to 10 late in the evening, then
                    decreasing to 8.6 overnight increasing to 10
                    overnight increasing to 14.
Visibility (sm).....10.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....              S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     20     30     30     20
Chc of thdr (%).0      10     10     10     10     0
Temp............71     66     60     57     55     52
RH..............30     41     58     67     72     80
Surface wind....W 9    W 7    SW 6   SW 4   SW 4   SW 4
Surface wnd gst.15     10     8      7      7      7
Ceiling (kft)...23     22     11     9.3    10     14
Visibility (sm).10     10     10     10     10     10

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Slight
                    chance of rain showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Surface winds (mph).West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Ceiling (kft).......17 increasing to 20 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 21 late in the morning decreasing
                    to 19 late in the afternoon.
Visibility (sm).....9 decreasing to 8 late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY
Weather cov.....                              S CHC
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                              S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10        10        10        20
Chc of thdr (%).0         10        10        20
Temp............52        62        68        71
RH..............80        62        45        38
Surface wind....SW 4G7    SW 7G10   SW 9G15   W 11G17
Ceiling (kft)...17        22        21        20
Visibility (sm).10        10        10        9

$$
Forecaster...Cory
Requested by...Alex Rice
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 2414880.10/DLH
.DELDT 05/31/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL JohnsonD@stlouiscountymn.gov,7337@slcrs.org,7111@slcrs.org,kelvin.mccuskey@state.mn.us,7101@slcrs.org,7296@slcrs.org,Emergency@slcrs.org,7310@slcrs.org,BrinkmanJ@stlouiscountymn.gov