Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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FNUS73 KDLH 052152
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for 2024 MN Wildfire Academy...MNICS IMT3
National Weather Service Duluth MN
452 PM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 CDT on June 06.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Our wet pattern continues into tomorrow with chances for showers and
thunderstorms under mainly cloudy skies. Winds will be northwest both
Thursday and Friday with gusts to 20 to 25 mph. Not everywhere will see
rain, but those that do will get a quick soaking.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the morning, then chance of
                    rain showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 13 to 16 mph with gusts to
                    around 26 mph.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 22 to 28 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good to excellent (43300-61200 knot-ft)
                    increasing to excellent (68700-85600 knot-ft)
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  30  30  30  30  30  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............49  50  50  53  53  53  54  55  56  56  56
RH..............80  79  76  71  71  69  71  72  68  68  68
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..12  13  15  15  16  17  16  16  16  15  15
20 FT wind gust.22  23  23  25  26  26  26  26  26  25  25
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 2.8 2.9 3.3 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.7 3.6 3.3 2.9
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.22  23  24  26  28  28  24  24  26  26  28
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/100043  55  61  75  86  84  74  78  83  77  69

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 28 mph
                    in the evening.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 17 to 26 mph decreasing to 14 to 15
                    mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good to excellent (33600-67600 knot-ft)
                    decreasing to poor to fair (11700-24800
                    knot-ft) overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20     20     20     20     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............57     56     51     48     47     46
RH..............64     67     71     77     78     77
20 ft wind......NW 13  NW 11  NW 9   NW 7   NW 7   NW 8
20 ft wind gust.25     21     18     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....2900   2500   1900   1400   1100   1000
Transport wind..NW 26  NW 24  NW 24  NW 20  NW 15  NW 14
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3      3
SDspl kt-ft/100068     54     40     25     15     12

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 28
                    mph.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL increasing to 7500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 16 to 25 mph increasing to 23 to 26
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (20800-27300 knot-ft) increasing to excellent
                    (66100-88700 knot-ft) late in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (156300-166400 knot-ft)
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10        0         0         10
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............47        56        64        68
RH..............79        65        48        40
20 FT wind......NW 8G16   NW 12G22  NW 16G25  NW 15G25
Mix hgt (ft)....1500      3400      5900      7300
Transport wind..NW 16     NW 23     NW 26     NW 26
Haines index....3         3         3         4
SDspl kt-ft/100021        66        135       166

$$
Forecaster...Linda
Requested by...Jolene P Soltis
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2415608.1/DLH
.DELDT 06/05/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Christopher.bergquist@state.mn.us,jolene.soltis@state.mn.us