Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
982 FNUS54 KEPZ 181936 FWFEPZ Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 136 PM MDT Tue Jun 18 2024 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM MDT THURSDAY... .DISCUSSION... Continued very dry and breezy this afternoon and evening with near Red Flag conditions prevailing across higher terrain. Sfc winds will eventually become more southeasterly during the day Wednesday as moisture returns from the east. This will allow for thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon and evening with strong gusty winds, hail, and locally heavy rainfall. Cooler and moist conditions will prevail Thursday and Friday before warming up again over the weekend. && ...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect sky cover amount... ...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows: Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft) Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft) Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft) Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft) Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established by the state of New Mexico. NMZ110-191215- Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ- 136 PM MDT Tue Jun 18 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....52-57. * Below 7500 ft....58-63. * 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....32-37 percent. * Below 7500 ft....29-34 percent. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..West 16 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........6. .JUNETEENTH... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent). * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....80-85. * Below 7500 ft....89-94. * 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....10-12 percent. * Below 7500 ft....9-11 percent. * 24 hr trend......1 percent drier. * 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..South 17 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......9900 ft AGL increasing to 13500 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....South around 20 knots. * Vent category.......Excellent (234900 knot-ft). .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Chance of thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of rain showers through the night. Slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....55-59. * Below 7500 ft....61-66. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....72-77 percent. * Below 7500 ft....68-73 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southeast winds 20 to 25 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 30 mph. * Chc of precip.......30 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3. * Haines index........6. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms through the day. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....74-79. * Below 7500 ft....81-86. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....32-37 percent. * Below 7500 ft....32-37 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southeast winds 20 to 25 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 30 mph. * Chc of precip.......30 percent. * LAL.................2 until 1200, then 3. * Haines index........4. * Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL increasing to 8600 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 30 knots. * Vent category.......Excellent (161800 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 75 to 80. Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 80 to 85. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 67. Highs 84 to 89. East winds around 5 mph. $$ NMZ111-191215- Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ- 136 PM MDT Tue Jun 18 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). * Min temperature.....61-65. * 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. * Max humidity........31-36 percent. * 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 15 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........5. .JUNETEENTH... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent). * Max temperature.....97-102. * 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. * Min humidity........9-11 percent. * 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph increasing to southeast around 15 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL increasing to 13600 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....South around 15 knots. * Vent category.......Excellent (205300 knot-ft). .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Chance of showers in the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms through the night. Slight chance of showers after midnight. * Min temperature.....67-71. * Max humidity........60-65 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southeast winds 25 to 30 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 29 mph. * Chc of precip.......30 percent. * LAL.................3 until 0300, then 1. * Haines index........6. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....87-91. * Min humidity........30-35 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Windy. East winds around 25 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 29 mph. * Chc of precip.......20 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3. * Haines index........4. * Mixing height.......5800-7100 ft AGL. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 30 knots. * Vent category.......Excellent (184400 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 66 to 71. Highs in the mid to upper 80s. Southeast winds around 20 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs in the lower to mid 90s. East winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs in the mid to upper 90s. East winds around 5 mph. $$ NMZ112-191215- South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ- 136 PM MDT Tue Jun 18 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent). * Min temperature.....63-68. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * Max humidity........25-30 percent. * 24 hr trend......23 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 16 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........6. .JUNETEENTH... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature.....96-101. * 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. * Min humidity........11-16 percent. * 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 17 mph. * Chc of precip.......10 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1500, then 2. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......9300 ft AGL increasing to 15300 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 knots. * Vent category.......Excellent (229000 knot-ft). .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min temperature.....65-70. * Max humidity........66-71 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southeast winds around 25 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 28 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3. * Haines index........6. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....82-87. * Min humidity........38-43 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southeast winds around 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 24 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......6200-7100 ft AGL. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 25 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (117000 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 82 to 87. Southeast winds around 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 70. Highs 89 to 94. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68 to 73. Highs 94 to 99. South winds around 5 mph. $$ NMZ113-191215- Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ- 136 PM MDT Tue Jun 18 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent). * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....52-57. * Below 7500 ft....58-63. * 24 hr trend......Unchanged. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....35-40 percent. * Below 7500 ft....41-46 percent. * 24 hr trend......22 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........6. .JUNETEENTH... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 1200, then partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....77-82. * Below 7500 ft....85-90. * 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....22-27 percent. * Below 7500 ft....22-27 percent. * 24 hr trend......19 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 21 mph. * Chc of precip.......30 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3. * Haines index........6. * Mixing height.......10100-11600 ft AGL. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 knots. * Vent category.......Excellent (161100 knot-ft). .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. * Min temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....49-54. * Below 7500 ft....57-62. * Max humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....91-96 percent. * Below 7500 ft....87-92 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southeast winds 25 to 30 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 25 mph. * Chc of precip.......60 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3. * Haines index........4. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. * Max temperature..... * Above 7500 ft....62-67. * Below 7500 ft....71-76. * Min humidity........ * Above 7500 ft....68-73 percent. * Below 7500 ft....53-58 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 20 mph. * Chc of precip.......70 percent. * LAL.................4 until 1200, then 5. * Haines index........3. * Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 knots. * Vent category.......Good (79400 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 70 to 75. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 60. Highs 79 to 84. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 83 to 88. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ TXZ055-191215- Texas Fire Weather Zone 055 El Paso County- 136 PM MDT Tue Jun 18 2024 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM MDT THURSDAY... .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent). * Min temperature.....68-72. * 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. * Max humidity........22-27 percent. * 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........6. .JUNETEENTH... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature.....100-104. * 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. * Min humidity........14-16 percent. * 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southeast winds around 10 mph increasing to around 20 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 17 mph. * Chc of precip.......20 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1500, then 3. * Haines index........5. * Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL increasing to 13800 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 knots. * Vent category.......Excellent (202900 knot-ft). .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min temperature.....70-74. * Max humidity........63-68 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Windy. East winds around 30 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 23 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1. * Haines index........5. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of showers in the morning, then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....82-86. * Min humidity........41-45 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Breezy. East winds around 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 25 mph. * Chc of precip.......50 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. * Haines index........2. * Mixing height.......5000-5700 ft AGL. * Transport winds.....East around 25 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (125700 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs near 90. Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in the lower to mid 90s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the 70s. Highs 97 to 101. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ TXZ056-191215- Texas Fire Weather Zone 056 Hudspeth County- 136 PM MDT Tue Jun 18 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent). * Min temperature.....65-69. * 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. * Max humidity........49-54 percent. * 24 hr trend......22 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph shifting to the southeast after midnight. * 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph. * Chc of precip.......0 percent. * LAL.................1. * Haines index........6. .JUNETEENTH... * Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200. * Max temperature.....94-99. * 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. * Min humidity........22-27 percent. * 24 hr trend......18 percent wetter. * 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southeast winds around 10 mph increasing to east around 20 mph in the afternoon. * 10000 ft MSL winds..East 21 mph. * Chc of precip.......30 percent. * LAL.................1 until 1500, then 3. * Haines index........5. * Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 12600 ft AGL in the afternoon. * Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 knots. * Vent category.......Excellent (183700 knot-ft). .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. * Min temperature.....64-69. * Max humidity........78-83 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Windy. East winds around 25 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..East 25 mph. * Chc of precip.......40 percent. * LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3. * Haines index........5. .THURSDAY... * Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. * Max temperature.....76-81. * Min humidity........54-59 percent. * 20-foot winds.......Breezy. East winds around 20 mph. * 10000 ft MSL winds..East 28 mph. * Chc of precip.......70 percent. * LAL.................4 until 1200, then 5. * Haines index........2. * Mixing height.......4500-5100 ft AGL. * Transport winds.....East around 30 knots. * Vent category.......Very good (113900 knot-ft). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 83 to 88. Southeast winds around 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Highs 88 to 93. Southeast winds around 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows near 70. Highs 93 to 98. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$