Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
576 FNUS74 KEPZ 111442 FWSEPZ Spot Forecast for PINON...New Mexico State Forestry National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 842 AM MDT Tue Jun 11 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 MDT on June 11. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Mostly hot and dry for the next several days. There will be a slight chance for a thunderstorm this afternoon and tomorrow. If a thunderstorm does develop it could produce a few dry lightning strikes and strong gusty outflow winds. Min RH`s will be in the upper teens today and tomorrow with good RH`s recoveries tonight as a little moisture pushes in from the east. Vent rates will be poor in the morning, then becoming very good in the afternoon. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Isolated showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. LAL.................1 until 1500, then 3. Max temperature.....Around 89. Min humidity........18 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 9 mph shifting to the east around 8 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......12200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 12 mph shifting to the northwest 10 to 13 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (23400 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to very good (118500 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM Sky (%).........4 4 26 41 41 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE ISOLTD ISOLTD Weather type....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE ISOLTD ISOLTD Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 20 20 LAL.............1 1 1 6 6 Temp............73 81 86 89 88 RH..............40 27 21 18 19 20 ft wind......SW 6 SW 6 S 9 E 8 E 8 20 ft wind gust.15 15 16 15 15 Mix hgt (ft)....2300 11000 11000 12200 12200 Transport wind..W 12 NW 13 NW 13 N 10 N 10 Haines index....3 3 3 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..23 119 119 108 108 Ventrate Cat....POOR VYGD VYGD VYGD VYGD .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 61. Max humidity........70 percent. Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 6 mph. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 13 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (85700 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (4700 knot-ft) late in the night. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........38 38 14 13 13 14 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............86 76 71 67 64 62 RH..............21 31 38 47 58 65 20 ft wind......NE 6 NE 6 N 6 N 6 N 6 N 5 20 ft wind gust.13 13 13 13 13 9 Mix hgt (ft)....9500 9500 500 500 500 500 Transport wind..NE 12 NE 12 NE 13 NE 13 N 10 N 10 Haines index....4 3 3 4 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..86 86 6 6 5 5 Ventrate Cat....GOOD GOOD POOR POOR POOR POOR .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Isolated showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................1 until 1500, then 3. Max temperature.....Around 93. Min humidity........17 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing height.......8600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest around 7 mph shifting to the west 10 to 13 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9900 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (97100 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........6 1 10 27 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 Temp............61 76 87 93 RH..............70 46 27 18 20 FT wind......NE 4G8 S 5G12 SW 8G14 SW 7G14 Mix hgt (ft)....1700 1700 8200 8600 Transport wind..NW 7 NW 7 SW 10 W 13 Haines index....4 4 5 5 Vrate kt-ft/1K..10 10 78 97 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY... Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. South winds around 8 mph. .SATURDAY... Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. South winds around 8 mph. $$ Forecaster...BRICE Requested by...NMADC Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2415945.0/EPZ .DELDT 06/11/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL nmadc@firenet.gov