Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
373 FNUS74 KEPZ 042319 FWSEPZ Spot Forecast for Cameron Creek RX...Gila National Forest National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 519 PM MDT Tue Jun 4 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MDT on June 05. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Poor overnight humidity recoveries are forecast tonight with light and variable winds though north will be favored for a direction. By afternoon, cumulus clouds will build up and a brief shower cannot be entirely ruled out. Min RH values will drop into the lower teens. Winds top out around 7 to 12 MPH, from the west. Very good venting is expected in the afternoon. Moisture tries to seep in beginning tomorrow tonight leading to slightly better humidity recoveries along with a chance for a shower or isolated thunderstorm Thursday afternoon. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent) then becoming partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 91. Min humidity........13 percent. Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. Mixing height.......13700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 7 to 14 mph shifting to the west around 8 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (52800 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to very good (110300 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 to 6 or low to high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........3 3 20 20 58 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 Temp............72 80 86 90 91 RH..............20 17 14 14 13 20 ft wind......N 7 N 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 7 20 ft wind gust.9 9 9 9 12 Mix hgt (ft)....4800 13300 13300 13700 13700 Transport wind..N 14 NW 7 NW 7 W 8 W 8 Haines index....4 4 5 5 5 Vrate kt-ft/1K..53 83 83 110 110 Ventrate Cat....FAIR GOOD GOOD VYGD VYGD .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming mostly clear (20-30 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 66. Max humidity........32 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 6 mph shifting to the north around 5 mph overnight. Mixing height.......13000 ft AGL decreasing to 700 ft AGL in the late evening and overnight. Transport winds.....West 9 to 10 mph shifting to the north around 10 mph overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Very good (103700 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (5900 knot-ft) late in the night. Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........52 52 24 28 28 22 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............88 80 75 72 69 67 RH..............14 18 21 24 28 31 20 ft wind......SW 6 SW 6 NW 6 N 5 N 5 N 5 20 ft wind gust.12 12 9 9 9 9 Mix hgt (ft)....13000 13000 700 700 700 700 Transport wind..W 10 W 10 NW 9 NW 9 N 10 N 10 Haines index....6 5 5 5 5 5 Vrate kt-ft/1K..104 104 6 6 6 6 Ventrate Cat....VYGD VYGD POOR POOR POOR POOR .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers in the afternoon. Slight chance of thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. LAL.................1 until 1500, then 3. Max temperature.....Around 93. Min humidity........13 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 6 mph shifting to the southwest around 8 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 15500 ft AGL in the late morning and afternoon. Transport winds.....Northeast around 9 mph shifting to the southeast around 8 mph in the late morning and early afternoon, then shifting to the southwest around 11 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (13100 knot-ft) increasing to very good (125500 knot-ft) in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........24 23 32 55 Weather cov.....NONE NONE CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 30 30 LAL.............1 1 1 4 Temp............66 79 88 93 RH..............31 23 16 14 20 FT wind......NE 6G12 E 6G12 S 8G15 SW 8G15 Mix hgt (ft)....2200 2200 15500 14700 Transport wind..NE 9 NE 9 SE 8 SW 11 Haines index....5 5 6 6 Vrate kt-ft/1K..13 13 128 126 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR VYGD VYGD .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY... Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. North winds around 8 mph. .SATURDAY... Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. North winds around 8 mph. .SUNDAY... Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Northwest winds around 10 mph. $$ Forecaster...BROWN Requested by...Silver City Interagency Dispatch Center Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2415232.7/EPZ .DELDT 06/04/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov