941
FXUS62 KFFC 131039
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
639 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

...New 12Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 326 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

Highlights:

-A few isolated showers and thunderstorms possible across portions
of Central Georgia and NE Georgia mtns this afternoon.

-Continued warming temperatures through Friday

A passing shortwave trough has resulted in continued mid to high
level cloud cover across the forecast area. A weak surface low is
also moving through the area and may result in variable winds
through the morning. Increased boundary layer winds should inhibit
any lower clouds this morning. Overall conditions will be fairly
similar to yesterday -- with daytime cu and largely dry conditions
(for most locales). Hi-res guidance does continue to hint at
isolated showers and storms this afternoon likely due to slightly
increased moisture and lift from the shortwave. Additionally, some
terrain induced activity will be possible across far NE Georgia as
well. Once the shortwave has passed gradual clearing is expected
across the forecast area.

Toasty temperatures can be expected both today and on Friday. Today
high temperatures will range from the low 80s across NE Georgia to
mid 90s across much of Central Georgia. By Friday, most locations
(aside from the NE Georgia mtns) will climb into the mid to upper
90s. The saving grace right now looks to be dewpoints -- which would
largely keep heat indices below 100. Even still -- it`s going to be
hot so make sure to take necessary precautions if outdoors and check
in on vulnerable groups!

07

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 326 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

Taking a look at conditions starting on Saturday, High pressure and
an associated ridge over the Great Lakes and Great Planes will mean
temperatures will be HOT this weekend. Models are attempting to
resolve low pressure in lee of the Appalachians and over North GA.
This is likely a product of NE flow around developing sfc lows in
the Western Atlantic (see NHC outlook) pulling dry air into a wedge-
like pattern for our area. PWATs will be slightly below normal,
hanging around the 1.25" mark. Less moisture in the air will mean
that temperatures climb above normal for this time of the year. The
record high at the ATL airport on Saturday is 96, with recent
forecasts consistently progging near 99. Temperatures elsewhere
across the region will reach into the upper 90s to near 100,
especially in east central GA. We aren`t likely to cool off much
into Sunday, with highs remaining in the upper 90s for much of the
region. Moisture begins to surge as we get into early next week with
PWATs climbing back over 1.5". When combined with a week mid level
disturbance, PoPs return Sunday through Tuesday morning.
Temperatures will be in the upper 80s to low 90s by mid next week.

SM

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 635 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

VFR conditions will persist through the period. FEW to BKN 060-080
cloud cover still present over the forecast area this morning.
Some lower cigs 040-050 starting to creep up near CSG. SCT to BKN
Cu will be possible through the afternoon with clearing conditions
after 00z with the departure of a mid-level disturbance. Winds
remain on the east side though may waffle between SE/NE at times
this afternoon though speeds remain light <7kts. Isolated
shra/tsra possible after 18z but chances remain too low to include
in any TAF at this time.

//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...

High confidence on all elements.

07

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          67  95  71  95 /   0   0   0  10
Atlanta         72  96  74  98 /   0   0   0  10
Blairsville     63  88  64  89 /  10  10   0  10
Cartersville    69  96  69  97 /   0  10   0  10
Columbus        73  97  74 100 /  10   0   0  10
Gainesville     68  93  71  93 /   0  10   0  10
Macon           69  97  73 100 /   0   0   0  10
Rome            68  97  70  97 /   0  10   0  10
Peachtree City  70  96  72  98 /   0   0   0  10
Vidalia         70  96  74 100 /   0  10   0  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...07