Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
874 FNUS52 KILM 231156 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 756 AM EDT Thu May 23 2024 .DISCUSSION... High pressure will retreat farther offshore today through the weekend. Shower and thunderstorm chances will gradually increase as a cold front moves into the region. Rain chances will remain elevated into next week with the front stalled in the area. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-240400- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 756 AM EDT Thu May 23 2024 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 20 40 Precip Type None Showers Tstms LAL 1 2 3 Max/Min Temp 89 67 89 Min/Max RH (%) 44 98 54 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 7 Lgt/Var SW 5 Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.15 Precip Duration 1 2 Precip Begin 12 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0900 1900 74/0900 Dispersion Poor Haines Index 4 3 3 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6100 5700 Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 W 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61000 57000 ADI Early 40 Fair 32 Fair 35 Fair ADI Late 60 Gen Good 7 Poor 51 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 9 5 7 Max LVORI Late 1 6 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 5 Rain Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7 Turner Stability A E B Remarks...Today`s seabreeze will develop around 11 AM at the beaches, moving 2-4 miles inland by 1 PM, 10-15 miles inland by 3 PM, and 20-30 miles inland by 5 PM. Winds will increase from the south behind the seabreeze front. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-240400- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 756 AM EDT Thu May 23 2024 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 30 50 Precip Type None Tstms Tstms LAL 1 2 3 Max/Min Temp 89 68 89 Min/Max RH (%) 42 98 52 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var W 4 Precip Amount 0.00 0.23 0.07 Precip Duration 2 2 Precip Begin 7 PM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0900 2000 71/0800 Dispersion Poor Haines Index 4 3 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6300 5300 Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 W 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 56700 53000 ADI Early 49 Gen Good 51 Gen Good 33 Fair ADI Late 69 Good 7 Poor 51 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 6 4 7 Max LVORI Late 1 6 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 4 Rain Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 6 Rain Turner Stability A E B Remarks...Today`s seabreeze front will reach southern Columbus County between 3-5 PM, moving through the Sidney, Old Dock, and Crusoe Island communities. Winds will increase from the south behind the seabreeze front. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of thunderstorms 50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-240400- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 756 AM EDT Thu May 23 2024 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 40 Precip Type None None Tstms LAL 1 1 3 Max/Min Temp 89 68 88 Min/Max RH (%) 44 98 53 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 6 Lgt/Var SW 5 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.13 Precip Duration 1 Precip Begin 6 AM Precip End Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0900 2000 74/0900 Dispersion Poor Haines Index 4 3 4 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6600 5800 Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 W 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 59400 69600 ADI Early 44 Gen Good 46 Gen Good 42 Gen Good ADI Late 56 Gen Good 7 Poor 60 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 8 4 7 Max LVORI Late 1 6 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 5 Rain Min VSBY Late 7 6 Fog 7 Turner Stability A E B Remarks...Today`s seabreeze will develop around 11 AM at the beaches, moving 2 miles inland by 1 PM, 10 miles inland by 3 PM, and 20 miles inland by 5 PM. Winds will increase from the south behind the seabreeze front. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-240400- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 756 AM EDT Thu May 23 2024 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 20 50 Precip Type None Tstms Tstms LAL 1 2 3 Max/Min Temp 89 67 89 Min/Max RH (%) 43 99 52 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var W 4 Precip Amount 0.00 0.12 0.08 Precip Duration 1 1 Precip Begin 7 PM 8 AM Precip End 6 AM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0900 2000 71/0800 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 4 3 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6300 5700 Transport Wind (mph) SW 8 W 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50400 68400 ADI Early 52 Gen Good 40 Fair 40 Fair ADI Late 62 Good 7 Poor 72 Good Max LVORI Early 6 4 8 Max LVORI Late 1 7 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 4 Rain Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 7 Turner Stability A E A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...TRA