Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
577 FNUS52 KILM 221849 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 249 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024 .DISCUSSION... High pressure will shift offshore mid week bringing warmer temperatures and moister conditions and some rain chances later in the week and into early next week. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-231100- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 249 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20 40 Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms LAL 1 1 2 3 Min/Max Temp 63 89 67 90 Max/Min RH (%) 100 51 96 53 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var S 6 SW 4 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 Lgt/Var SW 6 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 Precip Duration 1 2 Precip Begin 8 PM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 73/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Poor Haines Index 5 3 3 DSI 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6000 Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 N/A Vent Rate (mph-ft) 78000 ADI Early 36 Fair 48 Gen Good 41 Gen Good ADI Late 6 Very Poor 69 Good 41 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 8 9 4 Max LVORI Late 9 1 4 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability F A D Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-231100- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 249 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 30 50 Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms LAL 1 2 3 3 Min/Max Temp 64 90 68 89 Max/Min RH (%) 98 48 96 52 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 Lgt/Var SW 5 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.05 Precip Duration 2 2 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 72/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 3 DSI 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 N/A Vent Rate (mph-ft) 78400 ADI Early 57 Gen Good 45 Gen Good 57 Gen Good ADI Late 6 Very Poor 87 Good 57 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 5 9 3 Max LVORI Late 9 1 3 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E A D Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-231100- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 249 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20 30 Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms LAL 1 1 2 3 Min/Max Temp 63 89 67 89 Max/Min RH (%) 99 49 96 54 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 Lgt/Var SW 6 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 Precip Duration 1 2 Precip Begin 8 PM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 74/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Poor Haines Index 4 4 3 DSI 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 Transport Wind (mph) SW 12 N/A Vent Rate (mph-ft) 68400 ADI Early 38 Fair 46 Gen Good 45 Gen Good ADI Late 5 Very Poor 67 Good 45 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 6 9 3 Max LVORI Late 9 1 3 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E A D Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-231100- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 249 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024 Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20 40 Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms LAL 1 2 3 3 Min/Max Temp 62 90 67 90 Max/Min RH (%) 96 48 97 51 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 S 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 Lgt/Var SW 5 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.03 Precip Duration 1 2 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 73/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 3 DSI 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 N/A Vent Rate (mph-ft) 74100 ADI Early 53 Gen Good 57 Gen Good 57 Gen Good ADI Late 6 Very Poor 84 Good 57 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 4 9 3 Max LVORI Late 9 1 3 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E A D Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 89 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures below normal. Precipitation near normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$