099
FXUS64 KLZK 130436 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1136 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 219 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

19z surface observations once again indicate near normal
temperatures across the forecast area. Scattered CU were forming
over the western half of the forecast area.

During this period, temperatures, and associated heat stress will
climb each day.

Late in the period, MCS activity is expected to form to the
northwest of the forecast area, then move southeast. At this time,
forecast signals indicate that this activity will dissipate before
reaching northern portions of the state.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday Night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 219 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

H500 ridging will expand northeast over the area from Friday into
the weekend. This will provide well above normal temperatures along
with little to no chance of rain. Even as temperatures are expected
to climb into the mid to upper 90s F across the area Fri-Sun, Td
values will remain below 70 F. While this will lead to uncomfortable
conditions and associated HeatRisk values of 2-3, heat indices may
remain below advisory criteria for most locations through the period.

Conditions will "improve" into early next week as mid-level ridging
moves east of the area. This will provide an increased supply of
tropical moisture and an associated increase in cloud cover and
diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms. While Td values will be
higher, temperatures will be a few degrees cooler through the end of
the period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1135 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

Expect dominant VFR conditions to persist through this TAF period.
Winds will remain light and variable at less than 10 kts
sustained.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     62  89  67  93 /   0   0   0  10
Camden AR         61  91  64  96 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       64  90  66  90 /   0   0   0  10
Hot Springs AR    63  91  66  96 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  66  92  69  96 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     63  90  66  95 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      62  91  65  95 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  64  91  66  90 /   0   0   0  10
Newport AR        64  89  68  93 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     63  90  66  95 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   64  92  68  96 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         62  90  66  93 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      64  89  68  93 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....67
AVIATION...62