Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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Issued by NWS
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770 ACUS11 KWNS 091046 SWOMCD SPC MCD 091045 MOZ000-091215- Mesoscale Discussion 1215 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0545 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024 Areas affected...parts of southwest Missouri Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 091045Z - 091215Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...There is an increased damaging wind threat across parts of southwest Missouri over the next 1 to 2 hours. DISCUSSION...A confined region of increased damaging/severe wind threat exists along the warm front/outflow boundary across southwest Missouri. Greater than 50 knots of base velocity is being sampled from KSGF across western Greene County at less than 500 ft AGL. Therefore, it is reasonable to assume at least some of this wind is making it to the surface which would result in some damaging wind threat. The longevity of this wind threat remains questionable as its propagation is into the rain-cooled airmass to the east. Additional development/intensification is possible on the southern edge of the ongoing severe warned storm. However, convection in this area has been quite weak thus far, likely due to increasing inhibition with southern extent. Due to the relatively isolated and likely shorter duration of this threat, no watch is anticipated. ..Bentley/Hart.. 06/09/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SGF... LAT...LON 37709388 37489275 37209214 36929195 36729209 36749294 36879367 37009400 37199407 37399401 37709388