699
FNUS76 KMFR 071949
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for SULPHUR INCIDENT...CA-KNF
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
1249 PM PDT Fri Jun 7 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 PDT on June 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will remain in control through
Saturday, with high temperatures peaking today at values 15 to 20
degrees above normal. Humidity values will be relatively low, and
instability will be relatively high. Some cumulus clouds will be possible
over the fire, with cumulus build ups occurring to the east of the fire.
There is a 10 percent chance for a stray thunderstorm over the fire from
2 pm until about 8 pm today, and thunderstorms could bring gusty, quickly
shifting winds to 50 mph (although very unlikely). Overnight, expect good
to moderate recoveries. Our ridge begins to break down on Saturday and
Temperatures will trend cooler and humidities trend higher Saturday. There
is another shot for cumulus buildups to the east of the fire once again,
but Thunderstorm chances are even lower than 10 percent on Saturday. The
general wind pattern will be from the north, and thus will be sheltered
by the terrain--leading to a typical day-night cycle of winds with
breezy upslope winds in the afternoons and lighter downslope winds
overnight.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. Cumulus Buildups to the south and east.
A 10 percent chance for a stray thunderstorm.
Max temperature.....89 to 91 degrees on the upper slopes and ridges.
96 to 98 degrees on lower slopes and valleys.
Min humidity........25 to 30 percent.
Eye level winds.....Upslope 1 to to 3 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Upslope 5 to 8 mph through 9 pm.
Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Cumulus build ups to the south and
east until 10 pm, then clearing out.
Min temperature.....58 to 60 degrees.
Max humidity........67 to 72 percent.
Eye level winds.....Upslope 1 to 3 mph through 10 pm becoming
downslope 0 to 1 mph after midnight.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest/upslope 4 to 7 mph through 10 pm becoming
downslope 0 to 2 mph after midnight.
Mixing height.......Falling to near the surface after sunset.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Cumulus build ups again to the east.
Less than 10 percent chance for a stray thunderstorm.
Max temperature.....81 to 83 degrees in the upper slopes and ridges. 88 to
90 degrees in the lower slopes and valleys.
Min humidity........28 to 33 percent.
Eye level winds.....Downslope 0 to 1 mph becoming upslope 1 to 3 mph in
the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Downslope 0 to 2 mph becoming upslope 4 to 7 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 7 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

$$
Forecaster...SCHAAF
Requested by...SULPHUR IC(t)
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415785.0/MFR
.DELDT 06/07/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cayicc@firenet.gov