Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
562 FXUS65 KTWC 270922 AFDTWC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tucson AZ 222 AM MST Mon May 27 2024 .SYNOPSIS...High temperatures will run above normal over the next seven days as we close out May and begin June. && .DISCUSSION...Above normal high temperatures, dry conditions and typical afternoon gusty winds will occur over the next 7 days as we close out May and begin June. The Santa Cruz Ice will break in Tucson this week with the Tucson airport having a good shot at it occurring today, despite the low 17% chance by the 25/01z NBM. I say this since the NBM has been running up to 2 degrees cool on forecast high temperatures at the Tucson airport over the 7 days. Plus the ground is awfully dry since no measurable rain has been recorded since April 1st. Did you know that Tucson has recorded its first calendar triple digit high on Memorial Day only once since 1895. That occurrence was on May 30, 1977. && .AVIATION...Valid through 28/12Z. SKC. SFC winds thru 27/17z and then again after 28/03z will be terrain driven and less than 10 kts. At other times SWLY/NWLY 8-12 kts with ocnl hier gusts. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments. && .FIRE WEATHER...Afternoon high temperatures will be above normal this week. Expect diurnal wind trends to continue with occasional afternoon wind gusts, generally less than 25 kts. Min RH`s in the single digits across the valleys and some of the mountaintops. && .TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None. && $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson