509
FNUS53 KDTX 241937
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
337 PM EDT Fri May 24 2024

.DISCUSSION...Temperatures in the 80s this afternoon drop into the
60s overnight as showers and chances for thunderstorms move in. Some
areas will see up to two tenths of an inch of precipitation. Dry
weather Saturday afternoon continues into Sunday morning, but
relative humidities remain high. The next low pressure system brings
showers to the area Sunday night into Monday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-251415-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
337 PM EDT Fri May 24 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....72-76.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........30-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6720-7220 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming south in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (684).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 11 pm until 2 am, then showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........83-91 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (30).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 11 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....70-74.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........33-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4040-4540 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph becoming around 15 mph early
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (593).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........78-88 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest around 5 mph becoming east in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......460-660 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph becoming east in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-251415-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
337 PM EDT Fri May 24 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....68-72.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5880-6380 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming southeast in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (476).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 2 am, then showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....54-58.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........82-88 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 15 mph becoming southeast in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (21).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 11 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....72-76.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 10 mph becoming west in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3860-4360 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph becoming west in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (663).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........81-88 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North around 5 mph becoming east in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......440-640 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph becoming east in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-251415-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
337 PM EDT Fri May 24 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent) until 2 pm, then partly
                    sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....74-80.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........25-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph becoming southeast in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6690-7190 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming south in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (703).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 11 pm until 2 am, then showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....58-64.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84-94 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (22).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 11 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....76-80.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........34-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4230-4730 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (698).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....52-58.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........78-88 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest around 5 mph becoming east after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph becoming east after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
around 60. Highs in the mid 70s. Southeast winds around 15 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs around 70. West winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest winds around
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 70.

$$

BC