219
AXPZ20 KNHC 090813
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Sun Jun 9 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0800 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 11N87W to 12N105W to 09N127W.
The ITCZ continues from 09N127W to 08N140W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 03N to 08N east of 80W to the coast of
Colombia, and from 09N to 16N between 89W and 106W, including the
Gulf of Tehuantepec.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

High pressure of 1020 mb near 30N136W extends a ridge across the
offshore forecast waters of Baja California supporting moderate
NW winds, with seas of 5 to 7 ft. Moderate winds and slight seas
are present in the Gulf of California.

Elsewhere in the Mexican offshore waters, including the Gulf of
Tehuantepec, light to gentle winds and moderate seas prevail.
Hazy conditions persist off southern and SW Mexico due to
agricultural fires over southern Mexico and Central America.

For the forecast, moderate NW winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft will
continue off Baja California through the middle of the week.
Fresh to locally strong S to SW winds are expected in the
northern Gulf of California into tonight as low pressure
develops near the area. Hazy conditions caused by smoke from
agricultural fires in Mexico will continue offshore of SW and
southern Mexico for the next couple of days.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

The monsoon trough remains located farther north than its usual
climatological position for this time of the year. This results
in gentle to moderate SW to W winds in the offshore waters of
Central America. Light to gentle winds are evident in the
vicinity of the Galapagos Islands. Seas are generally 4 to 6 ft.

For the forecast, light to gentle winds will prevail north of 10N,
while gentle to moderate winds are expected south of 10N this
weekend. Mon night, the southwesterly flow S of of the monsoon
trough is forecast to increase to fresh to locally strong speeds,
building seas to 8 or 9 ft across the outer offshore forecast
waters of Central America.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A 1020 mb high pressure system is centered near 30N136W. This
system extends a ridge over the forecast waters N of 15N and W of
115W producing mainly gentle anticyclonic flow. An area of
moderate trades is noted along the southern periphery of the
ridge, roughly from 10N to 13N W of 135W. Seas are 5 to 7 ft for
waters N of 20N. Gentle to moderate southerly winds and seas of 5
to 7 ft are noted south of the monsoon trough.

For the forecast, high pressure will dominate the area while
strengthening somewhat by the middle of this week. The SW flow
south of the monsoon trough and E of 110W is forecast to increase
to fresh to locally strong speeds Mon night, building seas to 8
or 9 ft. A stationary front near 30N140W will dissipate today

$$
Konarik