486
FNUS75 KGJT 061221
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Spruce Creek fire...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
621 AM MDT Thu Jun 6 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on June 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure remains overhead today and tomorrow, with
generally light and terrain driven winds, although afternoon gusts up
to 20 mph will be possible. Increasing moisture tomorrow will lead to
an increased chance of showers and thunderstorms near the fire location.
Dry surface air will keep the chances of wetting rain low, with the main
concerns being gusty and erratic outflow winds and lightning.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....81-86.
Min humidity........9-14 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 3-5 mph becoming west winds 8-12 mph
by 1200.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6000-28000 knot-ft) increasing to good by
1000, and to very good by 1400.
Haines Index........6 or high.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL increasing to 12300 ft AGL by 1500.
Transport winds.....North 10 mph shifting to the west 12 mph in the
                    afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....45-50.
Max humidity........40-45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 4-8 mph becoming east winds 3-5
mph after 2200.
Smoke dispersal.....Good decreasing to poor (3000-5000 knot-ft)
                    after 2000.
Haines Index........6 or high.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......11200 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL by 2100.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 mph shifting to the northeast 10
                    mph overnight.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....82-87.
Min humidity........11-16 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 3-5 mph becoming southwest winds 6-10
mph by 1200. Gusts up to 20 mph possible during the
afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5000-23000 knot-ft) increasing to fair by
1000, to good by 1100, and to excellent by 1200.
Decreasing to very good after 1500.
Haines Index........6 or high.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL increasing to 12800 ft AGL by 1200.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 mph shifting to the west 16 mph in
                    the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...Brianna Bealo
Requested by...Charles Thelemann
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415688.0/GJT
.DELDT 06/06/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL charles.thelemann@yahoo.com