Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
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548 FXUS63 KLBF 081747 AFDLBF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service North Platte NE 1247 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Cooler highs in the upper 60s to 70s Saturday through Monday, with chances for showers and a few thunderstorms. The better chances will reside over the western half of the forecast area. - Drier weather with much warmer temperatures developing Tuesday into Wednesday and persisting through Friday. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/... Issued at 337 AM CDT Sat Jun 8 2024 The main frontal boundary today will reside near the Kansas and Oklahoma border, back to along the Colorado and Wyoming Front Range today. Weak surface high pressure will extend across the Northern Plains and western Great Lakes. This will bring mainly cloudy skies and cool highs today near 70, to near 75 far southwest. The flow aloft will be west northwest with a few disturbances crossing the region today into tonight. An areas of showers and a few thunderstorms have developed early this morning across portions of the western and central panhandle. The latest mesoscale models bring this activity eastward today with 20 to 40 POPs mainly across the Sandhills. Storms developing across far southeast Wyoming and northeast Colorado this afternoon will bring higher chances for showers and a few thunderstorms to southwest Nebraska late afternoon to early evening, with 40 to 60 POPs. Models differ on location and QPFs, with confidence below average on coverage. Tonight, shower chances persist overnight, mainly across the northwest Sandhills. Lows from 50 to 55. On Sunday, upper ridging will build across the Great Basin as a closed low and upper trough remain across the eastern Great Lakes and New England. The atmosphere will remain fairly moist with surface winds southeast. Looks to be a mainly dry day, with just low chances for showers across the western Sandhills. Highs will again be cool from 70 to 75. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... Issued at 337 AM CDT Sat Jun 8 2024 On Monday, an upper trough will begin to move into the Northern and Central Plains. This will bring a weak front into the northwest Sandhills with a chance for showers and thunderstorms to the northwest Sandhills by late afternoon. Highs will warm into the upper 70s with a breezy south wind. As the upper trough and weak front move across Monday night, likely POPs for much of the north central with a chance further south. While general thunderstorms are most likely, a few strong storms are possible across the western Sandhills Monday evening. A warming trend begins Tuesday into Wednesday and persists through Friday. The upper flow remains fairly zonal, with upper ridging shown by Friday as an upper trough moves into the West Coast. Mainly dry Tuesday through Thursday, with low POPs arriving Thursday night into Friday. Highs will peak into the upper 80s Wednesday and Thursday, with even some low 90s Southwest. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/... Issued at 1246 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2024 Showers with some embedded thunderstorms will continue through the afternoon across much of north central Nebraska. These showers should diminish by early to mid-evening with overcast skies through the remainder of the TAF period. Stronger winds present this afternoon will gradually diminish by early evening as well with winds under 10 knots through Sunday morning. && .LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Roberg LONG TERM...Roberg AVIATION...Kulik