Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
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171 FXUS64 KSJT 081709 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 1209 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 140 AM CDT Sat Jun 8 2024 High pressure aloft centered over West Central Texas will begin to slowly shift to the southeast today, gradually shifting southerly flow aloft to a more southwesterly fetch across the area. This will keep warm and dry conditions across the region through the short-term forecast, with afternoon high temperatures ranging in the mid 90s to near 102 and overnight lows in the low to mid 70s. These southerly winds are expected to become breezy later this morning and into the early evening hours, ranging from 10 to 20 mph with some gusts up to 30 mph. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday through Friday) Issued at 327 AM CDT Sat Jun 8 2024 Cooler temperatures are on the way early next week, along with an increase in rain chances. Sunday will remain hot, with afternoon highs just a tad cooler than today, with afternoon highs ranging from the mid/upper 90s east, to around 100 degrees across western sections. A weak cold is still expected to move into the Big Country Sunday evening and will likely stall near or just south of the I-20 corridor on Monday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible mainly along and north of the front beginning Sunday evening and continuing into Tuesday, as several disturbances affect the region. Shear and instability will be high enough to possibly support a few severe storms on Monday, with large hail and damaging winds the main hazards. Will maintain a low to medium chance of precipitation through the period, highest across the Big Country. Temperatures will be cooler early next week, especially on Monday with highs expected to be in the upper 80s and lower 90s. Tuesday will be warmer, as the front lifts north, with highs ranging from the lower 90s across the eastern Big Country and Heartland, to the mid and upper 90s elsewhere. Dry weather is expected by mid to late week, as the upper ridge builds back into the area from the west. Afternoon highs are expected to be in the mid 90s over eastern sections, and in the upper 90s to low 100s across western sections. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1208 PM CDT Sat Jun 8 2024 VFR conditions currently present across the area. Gusty winds out of the south will continue through the afternoon and into the early evening before tapering off around sunset. However, sustained speeds will generally remain in the 08-13 kt range through the overnight hours. MVFR stratus is expected to build out of the southeast, likely impacting the KJCT terminal for a few hours around daybreak tomorrow morning. This should lift back to VFR with continuing winds out of the south for all sites. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 75 98 71 88 / 0 10 40 40 San Angelo 74 101 71 91 / 0 10 40 40 Junction 73 99 72 93 / 0 10 20 30 Brownwood 71 94 71 88 / 0 0 20 30 Sweetwater 76 99 70 88 / 0 10 50 50 Ozona 74 97 71 90 / 0 0 30 30 Brady 71 94 71 88 / 0 10 20 30 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...TP LONG TERM....24 AVIATION...50