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704
FNUS72 KTAE 070953
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for Bradwell Bay Rx...USFS
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
553 AM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on June 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Northwest transport winds this morning will transition to westerly by
the early afternoon hours as a lingering frontal boundary sits draped
across the Florida Big Bend. Transport winds will predominantly remain
around 5-10 mph today. Mixing heights today will build to around 6100ft.
These deep mixing heights will be the main driver for high dispersions reaching
values in the upper 60s. With deep mixing being present this afternoon,
dry air will be allowed to mix down to the surface, which will allow
for minimum RH values to drop into the low to mid 40s at the location of the burn.
There will be a 30-40 percent chance for an isolated shower or thunderstorm
later this afternoon along this stalled frontal boundary. These showers/thunderstorms
combined with a slowly northward propagating sea breeze circulation
could lead to sudden wind shifts at or near the burn location today.
Overall, there are no fire weather concerns outside of the threat for
an isolated shower/thunderstorm.

.TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........30  29  33  24  22  21  17  16  29  28  26  24
Weather cov.....                    SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   10  10  10  10  20  20  30  40  40  40  40
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............75  75  77  82  86  88  90  93  95  95  96  94
RH..............97  94  94  82  70  63  58  49  45  46  43  46
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..0   0   0   0   1   1   2   2   3   3   3   5
20 FT wind gust.5   5   6   6   6   7   7   8   9   9   10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.6 1.6 2.6 3.6 4.5 5.3 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.7   7   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   9
Dispersion......3   3   9   18  26  33  39  45  51  59  63  69
LVORI...........9   9   6   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........24  14  26  22  25  9   11  11  6   5   4   6
Weather cov.....CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH
CWR.............30  20  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............93  91  88  84  82  80  79  77  77  75  73  72
RH..............49  52  59  70  74  77  79  85  82  87  90  84
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   0   0   0
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  9   9   8   8   7   7   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...4.3 2.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  N   N
Transp wind spd.10  10  12  10  10  9   9   8   8   7   7   7
Dispersion......54  34  5   5   5   4   4   4   4   3   3   3
LVORI...........1   1   3   3   4   4   5   6   6   6   6   6

.SATURDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........9   10  7   6   4   4   3   4   4   4   3   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............70  70  72  77  82  88  90  93  96  97  97  96
RH..............87  87  76  67  55  43  41  38  35  34  35  36
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  N   W   W   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..0   0   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   8   8   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.5 1.4 2.3 3.2 4.4 5.6 6.8 6.8 6.9 7.0
Transp wind dir.N   NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   NW  W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   6   6   7   8   9   10  10  10  9
Dispersion......3   3   6   10  17  26  42  62  81  81  80  77
LVORI...........6   6   4   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Bunker
Requested by...W. Branden Sultemeier
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415719.0/TAE
.DELDT 06/07/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL wesley.sultemeier@usda.gov