Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
388 FNUS74 KEPZ 082006 FWSEPZ Spot Forecast for Antone...USFS National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 206 PM MDT Sat Jun 8 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 MDT on June 08. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... A weak upper trough will be passing off to the west of the burn area over the next 24 hours. Expect winds to decrease this evening with just a few showers possible toward morning. This system will cool temperatures down about 5 degrees for Sunday and raise min RH`s a few percent. After Sunday, temperatures will be warming through the middle of the week with highs similar to or even a couple degrees warmer than the last several days. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 56. Max humidity........26 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West to northwest winds 6 to 12 mph becoming variable around 5 mph after 0300. Mixing height.......13400 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the late evening and overnight. Transport winds.....Northwest 13 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Very good (133600 knot-ft) decreasing to poor (5500 knot-ft) in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........4 to 6 or low to high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........70 70 65 64 64 74 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............77 73 67 63 59 57 RH..............11 13 15 17 21 23 20 ft wind......W 10 W 7 W 5 W 5 W 5 NE 5 20 ft wind gust.15 15 12 9 9 9 Mix hgt (ft)....13400 10400 500 500 400 400 Transport wind..NW 13 NW 13 W 15 W 15 NW 14 NW 14 Haines index....6 6 6 6 6 5 Vrate kt-ft/1K..134 104 6 6 6 6 Ventrate Cat....VYGD VYGD POOR POOR POOR POOR .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of rain showers early in the morning. Chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. LAL.................1 until 1500, then 3. Max temperature.....Around 75. Min humidity........18 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South to southwest winds 5 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......10600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 12 to 14 mph shifting to the southwest late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (34900 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (99700 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........81 81 79 77 77 74 Weather cov.....ISOLD NONE NONE S CHC S CHC CHANCE Weather type....RNSHWR NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE S CHC S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 20 20 30 LAL.............1 1 1 1 2 3 Temp............56 62 68 72 75 73 RH..............26 23 20 19 18 18 20 ft wind......NE 5 NW 5 S 6 S 7 S 7 SW 7 20 ft wind gust.12 12 13 13 13 15 Mix hgt (ft)....2900 2900 10600 10600 10100 10100 Transport wind..NW 14 NW 14 W 12 W 12 SW 9 SW 9 Haines index....3 4 4 3 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..35 35 100 100 76 76 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD GOOD GOOD .SUNDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of thunderstorms early in the evening. Slight chance of rain showers in the evening. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. LAL.................3 until 2100, then 1. Min temperature.....Around 51. Max humidity........54 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West-northwest winds 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the evening. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 13 mph shifting to the north around 7 mph in the late evening and overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Good (78100 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (2100 knot-ft) late in the night. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM Sky (%).........68 57 45 31 Weather cov.....S CHC NONE NONE NONE Weather type....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........S CHC NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 10 10 LAL.............3 1 1 1 Temp............73 62 57 53 RH..............21 32 40 48 20 FT wind......SW 7G15 NW 5G12 NW 2G6 NW 2G6 Mix hgt (ft)....6500 6500 800 400 Transport wind..W 13 W 13 N 7 NE 7 Haines index....4 5 5 5 Vrate kt-ft/1K..78 78 2 3 Ventrate Cat....GOOD GOOD POOR POOR .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3. Max temperature.....Around 79. Min humidity........15 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......13200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 11 mph shifting to the west around 18 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (29600 knot-ft) increasing to very good (137400 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (207900 knot-ft) in the afternoon in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 6 or very low to high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM Sky (%).........24 31 38 Weather cov.....NONE NONE S CHC Weather type....NONE NONE RNSHWR Tstm cov........NONE NONE S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 20 LAL.............1 1 3 Temp............51 68 78 RH..............54 27 17 20 FT wind......W 3G7 NW 4G9 NW 8G15 Mix hgt (ft)....4200 11100 13200 Transport wind..NW 8 NW 11 W 18 Haines index....3 4 6 Vrate kt-ft/1K..30 137 208 Ventrate Cat....POOR VYGD EXNT $$ Forecaster...GRZYWACZ Requested by...NMSDC Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2415831.0/EPZ .DELDT 06/08/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL NMSDC@firenet.gov