Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Central Illinois
Issued by NWS Central Illinois
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
991 FXUS63 KILX 061051 AFDILX Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation National Weather Service Lincoln IL 551 AM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - A small (15-30% chance) opportunity for rain arrives this weekend as MCS activity passes to our south Saturday afternoon into Sunday morning. - Below normal temperatures will prevail through most of the forecast period. High temperatures stay in the mid to upper 70s through next Wednesday, before warming back up into the 80s for late next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 256 AM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024 There is a secondary cold front entering central Illinois this morning. This will help dry us out the rest of the way, dropping dew points into the upper 40s to low 50s during the day. Behind the front, the pressure gradient has tightened and will deliver some breezier gradient winds to the CWA. The 00z HREF shows a 40-60% chance of wind gusts greater than 30 mph this evening after 5pm. Starting Friday, the synoptic pattern has an unseasonably deep upper- low anchored over Ontario and the Great Lakes and a strong high over the Desert Southwest into the Southern Plains taking a stronghold over central Illinois. Central Illinois will remain sandwiched between these two features embedded within deep-layer northwesterly flow. The forecast will remain mostly dry, but some MCS activity this weekend to our south/southwest could bring some rain up our way. There is a slight chance (15-30%) that the precipitation could be as far north as a Lincoln to Champaign line Saturday afternoon through Sunday morning. The temperatures will continue to be slightly below normal through the extended forecast. High temperatures stay in the mid to upper 70s through next Wednesday, before warming back up into the 80s to near 90 for late next week. Overnight lows will dip down into the 50s through Tuesday night, warming back into the 60s for late week. Copple && .AVIATION... (For the 12z TAFs through 12z Friday Morning) Issued at 551 AM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024 VFR conditions settle in for this TAF period with the skies being mainly clear. Westerly winds become gusty (25kts) this afternoon. They should die down by late this evening. RAC && .ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$