Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
023 FNUS55 KPSR 062240 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 340 PM MST Thu Jun 6 2024 .DISCUSSION... Hot and dry conditions will continue to support high fire danger across the area. Isolated dry thunderstorms over the White Mountains, Mogollon Rim, and in the vicinity of the far eastern districts could lead to increased risk of lightning-related fire starts through the remainder of today and on Friday, but dry thunder chances within our eastern districts remain below 10 percent. Well above normal temperatures are forecast through Friday with highs at or just above 110 degrees for a good portion of the lower deserts before a gradual cooldown starting Saturday. Winds will generally favor diurnal tendencies with speeds below 15 mph and occasional afternoon breezes between 20-25 mph. MinRH values will hover around 10%, with poor to fair overnight recoveries as MaxRHs range between 20-40%. Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-071045- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 340 PM MST Thu Jun 6 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................73-83. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................21-32 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming south after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................104-110. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................6-11 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......9700 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 10 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................73-83. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................24-35 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming south after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................102-108. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................8-12 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......10900 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 7 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 70-80. Highs 98-105. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 70-80. Highs 98-104. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 70-80. Highs 102-107. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 70-80. Highs 102-109. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 70-80. Highs 101-107. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-071045- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 340 PM MST Thu Jun 6 2024 /340 PM PDT Thu Jun 6 2024/ .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................72-77. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................31-43 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. * Max Temperature.................106-111. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................10-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........8800 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 8 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................73-78. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................34-45 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................104-109. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................9-13 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........8700 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........Southwest 9 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 72-79. Highs 101-106. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 71-76. Highs 100-105. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 71-76. Highs 104-109. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 71-76. Highs 104-109. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 70-75. Highs 103-108. $$ AZZ133-071045- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 340 PM MST Thu Jun 6 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................65-78. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................25-35 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming north after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................93-107. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................6-10 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................63-75. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................20-29 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming northeast after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. * Max Temperature.................89-103. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................8-12 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 58-77. Highs 87-101. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 58-73. Highs 87-101. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 59-74. Highs 91-105. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 61-74. Highs 93-106. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 60-74. Highs 90-104. $$ CAZ232-071045- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 340 PM PDT Thu Jun 6 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................74-80. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................27-51 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. * Max Temperature.................100-110. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................10-16 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................74-81. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................30-47 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming light and variable after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................99-109. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................9-15 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 70-79. Highs 97-106. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 70-79. Highs 95-105. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 72-79. Highs 99-108. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 71-78. Highs 99-108. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 71-77. Highs 97-107. $$ CAZ230-071045- Joshua Tree National Park- 340 PM PDT Thu Jun 6 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................67-79. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................26-35 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. * Max Temperature.................90-105. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................12-22 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........5 moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. * Min Temperature.................66-78. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................28-41 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................88-104. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-21 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 61-76. Highs 85-101. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 61-76. Highs 85-100. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 65-76. Highs 89-104. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 63-76. Highs 88-103. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 62-75. Highs 86-102. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Friday June 14th through Sunday June 16th: Above normal temperatures and near median precipitation.