Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
348
FNUS52 KILM 261934
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
334 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably hot and humid conditions will continue through
early this week with scattered afternoon and evening
thunderstorms. An approaching cold front will enhance thunderstorm
coverage late Monday into Monday night. Drier and slightly cooler
air arrives later Tuesday into Wednesday as the front pushes
farther offshore.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

NCZ105>110-271145-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
334 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            20           60           50
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            3            2
Min/Max Temp          69           91           68           90
Max/Min RH (%)        97           57           99           49
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  S  4         SW  6        SW  9 G21    W  4
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      S 10 G21     SW  5        W  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.03         0.15         0.03
Precip Duration                    1            6            1
Precip Begin                       10 AM        6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         5 PM         Continuing   6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         76/0800      1900         72/0700
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Haines Index          4            4            3            4
DSI                                2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    5200                      5900
Transport Wind (mph)               SW 22                     W 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 114400                    82600
ADI Early             29 Fair      82 Good      55 Gen Good  54 Gen Good
ADI Late              6 Very Poor  105 Very Good11 Poor      85 Good
Max LVORI Early       5            7            4            8
Max LVORI Late        6            2            7            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            6 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            7            6 Rain
Turner Stability      E            B            D            A

Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 82 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-271145-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
334 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     20           20           60           30
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            3            2
Min/Max Temp          69           91           69           90
Max/Min RH (%)        97           48           99           40
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      SW  6 G17    SW  6 G19    Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      SW 10 G21    Lgt/Var      W  4
Precip Amount         0.13         0.08         0.17         0.01
Precip Duration       0            1            6            1
Precip Begin          12 AM        12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            4 AM         Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  2000         74/0800      1900         72/0800
Dispersion            Poor                      Poor
Haines Index          4            4            3            4
DSI                                3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    5500                      6500
Transport Wind (mph)               SW 25                     W 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 137500                    97500
ADI Early             54 Gen Good  87 Good      59 Gen Good  53 Gen Good
ADI Late              6 Very Poor  107 Very Good9 Poor       100 Good
Max LVORI Early       5            7            4            8
Max LVORI Late        6            1            8            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            6 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            7            6 Rain
Turner Stability      E            B            E            A

Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
81 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 80 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-271145-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
334 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            60           40
Precip Type           None         None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            3            2
Min/Max Temp          70           93           69           91
Max/Min RH (%)        96           47           99           48
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  S  4         SW  5        SW  7 G20    Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      SW 10 G21    SW  4        W  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.24         0.01
Precip Duration                                 6            1
Precip Begin                                    6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         78/0900      1900         73/0800
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Haines Index          4            5            4            4
DSI                                3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    5700                      6100
Transport Wind (mph)               SW 23                     W 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 131100                    79300
ADI Early             42 Gen Good  87 Good      50 Gen Good  56 Gen Good
ADI Late              6 Very Poor  118 Very Good9 Poor       87 Good
Max LVORI Early       5            6            5            8
Max LVORI Late        6            1            8            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            6 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            7            6 Rain
Turner Stability      E            B            D            A

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 80 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
88 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-271145-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
334 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Chance (%)     20           0            50           20
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            3            2
Min/Max Temp          70           92           68           90
Max/Min RH (%)        96           47           98           38
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      SW  6        SW  6 G17    Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   S  4         SW 10 G20    Lgt/Var      W  5
Precip Amount         0.06         0.00         0.16         0.00
Precip Duration       1                         2            1
Precip Begin          9 PM                      6 PM         Continuing
Precip End            2 AM                      Continuing   6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time)  2000         75/0800      2000         72/0800
Dispersion            Poor                      Poor
Haines Index          4            5            4            4
DSI                                3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    5700                      7100
Transport Wind (mph)               SW 26                     NW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 148200                    106500
ADI Early             60 Gen Good  94 Good      72 Good      55 Gen Good
ADI Late              7 Poor       112 Very Good10 Poor      107 Very Good
Max LVORI Early       4            6            5            8
Max LVORI Late        6            1            8            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            6 Rain
Min VSBY Late         7            7            6 Rain
Turner Stability      E            B            E            A

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 79 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

Forecaster...RGZ