007
ACUS01 KWNS 120035
SWODY1
SPC AC 120033

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0733 PM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024

Valid 120100Z - 121200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST
COLORADO...SOUTH TEXAS...AND SOUTH FLORIDA...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated strong storms are possible across south Florida, southeast
Colorado and south Texas for a few more hours this evening.

...TX...

The Slight risk (level 2 of 5) has been removed and the Marginal
risk (level 1 of 5) trimmed to encompass ongoing convection. Overall
storm organization has been messy and struggling to maintain severe
intensity within a weakly unstable and modestly sheared environment.
A stronger supercell was noted around 00z near the Rio Grande, but
strong outflow shifting southwest will likely have deleterious
effects on any further convection developing near the River.
Nevertheless, a strong storm or two producing locally gusty winds
and hail will be possible into the early overnight hours across
parts of south TX.

...FL...

The Marginal risk (level 1 of 5) continues across south FL this
evening. A few weakly rotating storms have been noted offshore, with
one more recently over the Everglades. A brief tornado or two will
be possible for another couple of hours this evening.

...CO/NM...

The Marginal risk (level 1 of 5) has been trimmed and is confined to
ongoing convection across southeast CO. Isolated gusty winds and
hail main continue with this activity for another few hours this
evening before weakening.

...Upper Midwest...

Severe potential is expected to remain low the remainder of the
evening/overnight. Very weak instability across the region is
unlikely to sustain severe convection and overall coverage of storms
will be low.

...Mid-Atlantic...

Isolated showers and thunderstorms will meander over northeast NC
and far southeast VA the next few hours. However, very weak
instability and low thunderstorm coverage will preclude severe
potential.

..Leitman.. 06/12/2024

$$