403
FNUS53 KAPX 041905
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
305 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024

...Showery weather returns Wednesday...

.DISCUSSION...A cold front in the northern plains will cross
northern Michigan late Wednesday. Chances for showers and
thunderstorms will increase on Wednesday into Wednesday night.
Behind the front, showery and unseasonably cool weather will affect
northern Michigan for the end of the work week, as well as the
weekend.

Southerly winds will be a touch gusty Wednesday, though humidity
will remain high. West winds Thursday will also be a touch gusty.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-051000-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
305 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2400. Slight chance of
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (32).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms until 1200. Showers. Scattered
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent wetter...except 10 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (541).
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.27- 0.54 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (91).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.12- 0.30 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....66-71...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (695).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.11 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-051000-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
305 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (45).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms until 1200,
                    then rain showers and scattered thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter...except 12 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (486).
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.27- 0.43 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Rain showers and
                    scattered thunderstorms until 2400, then chance
                    of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (62).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.46 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200, then rain showers likely.
Max Temperature.....69-74...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 10 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (952).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.11 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-051000-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
305 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400Scattered
                    rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 12 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (33).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers and
                    scattered thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 61-66 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent wetter...except 15 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (419).
Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.36- 0.61 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2400. Chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (96).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.19 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....66-71...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 6 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (853).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .


$$

MIZ031>033-051000-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
305 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 2400. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Scattered showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers and
                    scattered thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter...except 12 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (482).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.30- 0.57 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2400. Chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....51-56.
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (91).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.11 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1088).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-051000-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
305 PM EDT Tue Jun 4 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2400. Slight chance of
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (42).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers and
                    scattered thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....76-81.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (526).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.23- 0.47 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
                    thunderstorms and chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (85).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.22 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....69-74.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1067).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

JZ