463
FNUS21 KWNS 091550
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1050 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024

Valid 091700Z - 101200Z

The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes
or additions made.

..Squitieri.. 06/09/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0157 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024/

...Synopsis...
A weak midlevel ridge will remain in place across the southern
Rockies into the Southwest, favoring continued warm/dry conditions
across the region. Along the western periphery of the ridge, a
subtle midlevel impulse will track northeastward, weakening the
ridge and promoting a modest surface pressure gradient across
southern AZ, southern NM, and the western Trans-Pecos -- west of a
weak lee cyclone over southwest TX. As a result, breezy (15-20 mph)
sustained west-southwesterly surface winds will overlap single-digit
to lower-teens RH, favoring elevated fire-weather conditions across
these areas.

The aforementioned impulse will also support mixed wet/dry
high-based thunderstorms across NM, though ample midlevel moisture
and very slow storm motions should support wetting rain with most of
these storms -- precluding Dry Thunderstorm highlights.
Nevertheless, an isolated lightning-induced ignition cannot be ruled
out away from the heavier rain cores.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$