Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
035 ACUS02 KWNS 140545 SWODY2 SPC AC 140544 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1244 AM CDT Sat Sep 14 2024 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Organized severe thunderstorms are not expected Sunday. ...Discussion... A blocking upper pattern will hold in the East, with a stout mid-level anticyclone over the Lower Great Lakes and the remnants of post-TC Francine in the Lower MS Valley. A strong mid/upper jet approaching the Pacific Coast will yield a closed mid/upper low over northern to central CA by Sunday night. Strengthening large-scale ascent downstream should foster a broadening area of low-probability thunderstorm potential in the West amid scant buoyancy north of AZ. During the late afternoon, moderate MLCAPE should develop across parts of the western Great Plains to central TX. This could be sufficient for a few strong, but pulse-type thunderstorms given predominantly weak shear. ..Grams.. 09/14/2024 $$