Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
591
FNUS54 KEPZ 051223
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
623 AM MDT Wed Jun 5 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT
THURSDAY...
.DISCUSSION...
For Wednesday, conditions will be mostly quiet except for the
Sacramento Mountains where there is a slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Dry lightning and gusty winds are possible.
For Thursday, there is a better chance of storms in the
mountains as temperatures reach their hottest of the period.
For the weekend, there will be continued chances for showers
and thunderstorms especially in the mountains each afternoon.
Mostly elevated conditions are expected Friday onward.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-052030-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
623 AM MDT Wed Jun 5 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....82-90.
* Below 7500 ft....91-96.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....11-13 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....10-12 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......11600 ft AGL increasing to 15300 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....North around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (124700 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....57-62.
* Below 7500 ft....62-67.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....28-33 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....28-33 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Isolated rain
showers and dry thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....83-88.
* Below 7500 ft....90-98.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....11-13 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....10-12 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 6.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......13100 ft AGL increasing to 15700 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (131200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 67. Highs 88 to 93. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 86 to 91. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 81 to 86. West winds around
5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-052030-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
623 AM MDT Wed Jun 5 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....96-101.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........8-10 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8900 ft AGL increasing to 15500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....North around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (98700 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....65-69.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........25-30 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 7 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Isolated
showers in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....100-104.
* Min humidity........7-9 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8400 ft AGL increasing to 17500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (119400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows near 70.
Highs 98 to 102. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs
94 to 99. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 71. Highs 91 to 96. West winds
around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ112-052030-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
623 AM MDT Wed Jun 5 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....96-101.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........8-12 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......10000 ft AGL increasing to 15800 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (100600 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....66-71.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........32-37 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Max temperature.....99-104.
* Min humidity........8-12 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL increasing to 16700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (133100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 69 to 74. Highs 98 to 103. South winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 71. Highs 96 to 101. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 72. Highs 92 to 97. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-052030-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
623 AM MDT Wed Jun 5 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated rain
showers and dry thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....78-83.
* Below 7500 ft....84-92.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....19-24 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....16-21 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
winds possible in thunderstorms.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 8 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 6.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......9700 ft AGL increasing to 12700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (109400 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....54-59.
* Below 7500 ft....61-66.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....46-51 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....40-45 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Isolated rain
showers and dry thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....80-89.
* Below 7500 ft....91-96.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....17-22 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....12-16 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds possible in thunderstorms.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 6.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......12000 ft AGL increasing to 14200 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (126300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 61 to 66. Highs 87 to 92. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 87 to 92. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 64. Highs 80 to 85. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-052030-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
623 AM MDT Wed Jun 5 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM MDT
THURSDAY...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....99-105.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........8-10 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 3 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 15600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (86100 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....71-75.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........34-39 percent.
* 24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 7 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....101-107.
* Min humidity........8-10 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 8 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL increasing to 16400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (112000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 70s. Highs 100 to 104.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 97 to 101.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in the mid
to upper 90s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TXZ056-052030-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
623 AM MDT Wed Jun 5 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
* Max temperature.....95-102.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........10-14 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
east in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 8 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL increasing to 15600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (98400 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....67-71.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........44-49 percent.
* 24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 7 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Isolated
showers in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....97-102.
* Min humidity........12-16 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL increasing to 15700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (111600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 96 to 101.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 94 to 99. South winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs 92 to 97. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
Aronson