628
FNUS75 KFGZ 120055
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Cienega Creek...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
555 PM MST Tue Jun 11 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2000 MST on June 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...An isolated shower or two will linger in the area until
sunset. Expect moderate to poor overnight RH recovery.

Wednesday will see temperatures warming with afternoon RHs falling into
the teens. High level cumulus clouds will form once again in the afternoon
and an isolated shower can not be ruled out. Afternoon winds could gusts as
high as 25 mph.

Thursday will see increasing winds and an uptick in the chance of an isolated
shower/storm in the afternoon and evening. Winds could gust as high as 30
mph. RHs will increase slightly with the increase in moisture and overnight
recoveries should improve.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly Clear to Partly Cloudy before 2000, then Clear.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph shifting to the north
                    overnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......1.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 knots shifting to the north
                    overnight.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny to Partly Cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........10-15 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1682.
Mixing height.......13100 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 17100
                    ft AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 knots.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......1.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 knots shifting to the north
                    after 3 am.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny to Partly Cloudy in the morning,
                    becoming Partly to Mostly Cloudy in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon and increasing to
                    10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......3000.
Mixing height.......10000 ft AGL early in the morning increasing to
                    17600 ft AGL in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 5 knots shifting to the south 10 to
                    15 knots in the late morning and early
                    afternoon, then increasing to around 20 knots
                    late in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...ROAKES
Requested by...Justin Thompson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415846.3/FGZ
.DELDT 06/11/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azsdc@firenet.gov