496
FXUS64 KLCH 062308
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
608 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday night)
Issued at 340 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024

Building high pressure will create nice and sunny weather for the
next 48 hours. This is certainly a relief from the near-constant
MCS and storms of the past week or so. Current hand analysis of
500 mb shows the 590 dm line in east Texas, with heights building
to the west. Models are in good agreement that this ridge will
continue to build over the next few days, with the NAM being the
most aggressive and showing heights of 594 this weekend. Other
models show a less intense ridge, but they are in good agreement
on the general location of the ridge. PoPs this weekend will be on
the low side, with the best chance for rain coming with afternoon
showers and storms. Rain will return to the forecast on Sunday
night as another disturbance makes its way across the region.

High temperatures will be in summer shape, with highs in the
mid-90s and heat index values in the low triple digits. Lows will
be in the low to mid-70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 340 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024

Unsettled weather pattern is expected next week as generally zonal
flow with several disturbances track across the region Mon-Wed. This
will bring slightly cooler temps compared to the weekend with highs
in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Rain chances will also return as
these disturbances track across the region.

By late next week, uncertainty exists as to how expansive a ridge
of high pressure builds from the west and a disturbance possibly
developing across the east GoM/SE US. This could push temps back
into the lower and middle 90s and/or increase rain chances once
again for the area. &&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 156 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024

FEW/SCT low clouds around 035/050 ft this afternoon with light
winds. Skies clear overnight with generally SKC tomorrow. Light
winds will continue.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 607 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024

Generally VFR are expected through the period. Winds will be light
and VRB tonight and become east at 5 to 10kts tomorrow mid morning
to mid day.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 340 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024

Light west to southwest flow this morning will trend more offshore
through the morning into afternoon as a weak frontal boundary sags
south over the coastal waters.

Drier conditions and a light generally offshore flow will then
persist through tonight, with onshore flow resuming over the
weekend as high pressure moves east of the area. Another front
will move southward over the coastal waters by early next week,
bringing the next chance for rain and another period of light
variable to offshore flow.onditions and a light generally offshore
flow will then persist into Friday, with onshore flow resuming
over the weekend as high pressure moves east of the area. Another
front will move southward over the coastal waters by early next
week, bringing the next chance for rain and another period of
light variable to offshore flow.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  68  93  68  93 /   0   0   0   0
LCH  72  94  73  93 /   0  10   0   0
LFT  74  96  74  95 /   0  10   0  10
BPT  73  96  74  94 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....78
AVIATION...05