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FNUS75 KREV 141845
FWSREV

Spot Forecast for Bear Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Reno NV
1145 AM PDT Sat Sep 14 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 PDT on September 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National
Weather Service in Reno.

.DISCUSSION...

* Gusty southwest winds Sunday ahead of an incoming cold front.

* Showers possible as early as Sunday night into Monday morning.
  Chances will increase through the day Monday into Monday night.

* Much colder on Monday with high temperatures more typical of
  late October and early November.


.SUNDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Less than a 10%
                    chance of an isolated shower in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Valleys: 64-67, Slopes: 67-70.
RH..................Valleys: 30-35%, Slopes: 28-33%
20-Foot Winds.......South-southeast drainage winds 5-10 mph with gusts
                    up to 15 mph in in the morning, then becoming southwest
                    15-20 mph with gusts 30-35 mph after 1000.
LAL.................1.
Chc Wetting Rain....0%.
Mixing Height.......6500-7000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South-Southwest 30-40 mph.
Ventilation.........Good to increasing to excellent late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3


.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. 25% chance of showers after 3am. Rainfall
                    amounts of 0.01 to 0.10 possible by daybreak. Areas of
                    low clouds and patchy valley fog.
Temperature.........Valleys: 27-33,   Slopes: 34-37.
RH..................Valleys: 95-100%, Slopes: 85-90%
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10-15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph mph becoming
                    downslope/down drainage 5-10 mph after 2000.
LAL.................1.
Chc Wetting Rain....5% increasing to 15% overnight.
Mixing Height.......800-1300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph becoming light.
Ventilation.........Excellent decreasing to poor in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Haines Index........2.

.MONDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy and unseasonably cool. 40% chance of showers
                    in the morning, increasing to 60% by late afternoon into early
                    evening. Rainfall amounts of 0.10 to 0.20 possible through
                    late afternoon.
Temperature.........Valleys: 49-53,  Slopes: 54-57.
RH..................Valleys: 60-65%, Slopes: 50-55%
20-Foot Winds.......South-southeast drainage winds 5-10 mph in in the morning, then
                    becoming west 8-12 mph with gusts up to 18 mph.
LAL.................1.
Chc Wetting Rain....35% increasing to 55% in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......5000-6000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Light winds becoming west-northwest around 15 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Ventilation.........Poor to good.
Haines Index........2 to 3.

$$

Forecaster...Fuentes
Requested by...Dan Patterson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2422453.0/REV
.DELDT 09/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL daniel.patterson@usda.gov