Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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793
FNUS74 KMOB 050920
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Carr Unit 8 Prescribed Burn...Florida Fish & Wildlife Conservation Commission
National Weather Service Mobile AL
420 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on June 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Isolated to scattered showers and storms are expected
across the area today and then scattered to numerous showers and
stoprms are expected on Thursday. Afternoon relative humidity values
remain above critical levels both today and Thursday. Transport winds
will be mostly southwesterly to southerly today and westerly on
Thursday. Dispersion index values will be generally good both today
and Thursday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog development is not expected
tonight.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1400, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph early in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...183-1219 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 52.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........17  22  23  24  22  30  34  33  32  33  38
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
Temp............74  77  81  84  86  87  88  89  88  88  87
RH..............97  90  79  70  65  63  61  59  61  61  63
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SSW S   SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
20 FT wind spd..3   6   7   7   9   10  10  10  10  12  12
20 FT wind gust.6   8   9   12  14  15  16  16  16  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.8 2.7 3.5 3.9 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.8 3.8
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
Transp wind spd.7   10  12  13  13  13  13  14  13  14  14
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
Trans spd (m/s).3   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..10  26  38  48  52  55  56  54  54  53  53
LVORI...........6   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
                    Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................2 until 2200, then 1 until 0300, then 2.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 9 mph in the evening becoming
                    light, then becoming south around 5 mph
                    overnight becoming light. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after 3 am.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1158 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....53 decreasing to 9.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........44  48  46  57  66  70  69  76  72  71  71  71
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH                     SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW                      RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH                     SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20
LAL.............2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2
Temp............85  82  81  79  78  78  77  77  77  76  75  75
RH..............67  74  77  82  85  88  90  90  90  94  97  94
20 FT wind dir..SSW SSW SSW S   SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..10  9   7   7   6   5   5   6   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.16  14  12  10  9   8   7   8   7   7   7   6
Mix hgt (kft)...3.8 1.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5
Mix hgt (km)....1.2 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW WSW SSW S   SSW WSW WSW
Transp wind spd.13  13  12  12  10  9   12  8   9   9   9   7
Trans wind dir..SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW WSW SSW S   SSW WSW WSW
Trans spd (m/s).6   6   5   5   4   4   5   4   4   4   4   3
Dispersion idx..53  12  9   9   9   8   8   7   7   7   6   6
LVORI...........2   3   4   4   4   5   5   6   6   7   7   7

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Showers likely
                    through the day. Thunderstorms likely in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................3 until 1300, then 4.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph early
                    in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the morning.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1036 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.West 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 45.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........69  61  60  62  61  58  59  60  57  55  52  45
Weather cov.....CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).30  60  60  60  60  60  60  70  70  70  70  70
LAL.............3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
Temp............75  74  76  78  81  83  84  85  86  87  87  87
RH..............94  100 97  91  82  74  70  67  66  65  65  66
20 FT wind dir..SW  WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   7   7   8   8   9   9   9   9   8
20 FT wind gust.6   7   8   9   10  12  13  14  14  14  14  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 1.7 1.7 2.1 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.1 3.1
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.SW  WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW SW  WSW W   W   W
Transp wind spd.7   8   9   10  12  13  13  13  13  13  13  12
Trans wind dir..SW  WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW SW  WSW W   W   W
Trans spd (m/s).3   4   4   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   5
Dispersion idx..6   11  20  23  28  33  36  38  44  46  45  45
LVORI...........7   6   5   4   3   3   3   3   2   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...12
Requested by...Mackenzie Sconyers
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415588.0/MOB
.DELDT 06/05/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Mackenzie.Sconyers@MyFWC.com