Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM
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578 FXUS65 KABQ 081738 AAB AFDABQ Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 1038 AM MST Mon Dec 8 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1037 AM MST Mon Dec 8 2025 - Dry and seasonably warm weather will persist through at least the next seven days around central and northern New Mexico. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Tuesday) Issued at 100 AM MST Mon Dec 8 2025 Light northwest flow aloft persists over New Mexico today, with light winds and above normal temperatures prevailing. A batch of high clouds will move across the state from west to east in the morning, with clearing skies in the afternoon. Overall, it will be a pleasant early winter day and so will Tuesday as temperatures tick up a few more degrees. A weak perturbation will trek overhead on Tuesday. The only sensible weather change will be an increase in winds for areas along and east of the central mountain chain. Max gusts in the Central Highlands will most likely be in the 35 to 45 mph range, which is a tad below the Wind Advisory threshold. A backdoor front associated with these weak disturbance will push in from the northeast Wednesday morning, cooling temps off 5-10 degrees. Giving the timing of the front, it may struggle to push past the eastern plains since northwest winds will take over shortly after sunrise. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 100 AM MST Mon Dec 8 2025 Dry northwest flow will continue to be the story mid to late week. This will keep the dry weather and above normal temps around for the foreseeable future. Compressional heating in the eastern plains will surge temperatures even higher Thursday afternoon, which will likely be the warmest day of the week. There is a 40% chance that high temps in the 70s will extend as far north as Clayton and a 20% chance of reaching 80F in Roswell. Another dry backdoor front will cool temps off for Friday, but temps will remain 5-10 degrees above average in eastern NM. No significant changes to the forecast for the weekend, although there are indications the upper-level pattern could slowly become more progressive over the weekend into the early part of the following week. Around 10% of ensembles are still showing a quasi-zonal, more progressive pattern developing around Dec. 16th, with another 10% showing deep troughing along the Pacific coast which could translate to a more active storm track in the desert southwest a few days later than that. Either way, confidence is high that the dry and seasonably warm weather will continue through the middle of December. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1037 AM MST Mon Dec 8 2025 VFR conditions are forecast for the next 24 hours. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 100 AM MST Mon Dec 8 2025 Poor ventilation is likely in most areas through next weekend thanks to weak, dry northwest flow aloft and a building ridge over the desert southwest. Temperatures will gradually trend up over the next several days, with a couple of modest cooldowns Wednesday and Friday thanks to backdoor fronts. Afternoon humidities will remain quite steady each of the next several afternoons, with values ranging from 20-40% in most areas. Light winds less than 20 mph will prevail in most areas through next weekend as well, except on Tuesday afternoon when northwest wind gusts of 35 to 45 mph are likely in the Central Highlands and surrounding areas. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Farmington...................... 46 24 48 26 / 0 0 0 0 Dulce........................... 46 13 48 18 / 0 0 0 0 Cuba............................ 47 21 49 25 / 0 0 0 0 Gallup.......................... 51 19 56 23 / 0 0 0 0 El Morro........................ 51 24 53 29 / 0 0 0 0 Grants.......................... 54 20 58 25 / 0 0 0 0 Quemado......................... 53 23 55 28 / 0 0 0 0 Magdalena....................... 54 29 59 36 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 53 26 56 32 / 0 0 0 0 Reserve......................... 63 21 66 28 / 0 0 0 0 Glenwood........................ 67 26 69 31 / 0 0 0 0 Chama........................... 43 16 45 21 / 0 0 0 0 Los Alamos...................... 46 27 50 31 / 0 0 0 0 Pecos........................... 51 26 55 32 / 0 0 0 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 44 21 48 28 / 0 0 0 0 Red River....................... 36 18 40 25 / 0 0 0 0 Angel Fire...................... 43 11 47 18 / 0 0 0 0 Taos............................ 46 15 49 22 / 0 0 0 0 Mora............................ 50 23 56 31 / 0 0 0 0 Espanola........................ 52 22 56 26 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe........................ 48 29 51 34 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 49 24 52 29 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 52 33 55 36 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 55 29 57 34 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 57 27 59 33 / 0 0 0 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 56 29 59 34 / 0 0 0 0 Belen........................... 55 22 57 27 / 0 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 55 29 59 31 / 0 0 0 0 Bosque Farms.................... 56 22 57 29 / 0 0 0 0 Corrales........................ 56 29 59 32 / 0 0 0 0 Los Lunas....................... 55 24 57 29 / 0 0 0 0 Placitas........................ 50 30 53 34 / 0 0 0 0 Rio Rancho...................... 56 29 59 33 / 0 0 0 0 Socorro......................... 59 28 62 34 / 0 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 48 27 50 31 / 0 0 0 0 Tijeras......................... 49 29 51 32 / 0 0 0 0 Edgewood........................ 49 25 52 29 / 0 0 0 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 51 21 54 27 / 0 0 0 0 Clines Corners.................. 46 25 49 30 / 0 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 52 27 54 33 / 0 0 0 0 Gran Quivira.................... 53 27 54 31 / 0 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 57 30 58 36 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 54 32 56 39 / 0 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 50 24 59 29 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 54 21 61 29 / 0 0 0 0 Springer........................ 56 21 64 28 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 53 25 59 31 / 0 0 0 0 Clayton......................... 57 30 66 34 / 0 0 0 0 Roy............................. 56 25 63 32 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 59 24 66 31 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 57 29 64 34 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 59 24 67 31 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 60 29 65 36 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 61 28 66 35 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 61 27 67 35 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 64 29 70 39 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 64 32 67 43 / 0 0 0 0 Elk............................. 64 29 68 40 / 0 0 0 0 && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...16 LONG TERM....16 AVIATION...44