Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
028
FNAK51 PAFC 151219
FWFAER

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
419 AM AKDT Sat Jun 15 2024

.DISCUSSION...There are two items of note for today. The first
is the combination of temperature, wind and RH in the Copper
River Basin. Yesterday approached Red Flag conditions for a time,
but didn`t reach them. Northerly winds will not be as strong as
yesterday, but RH will be a little lower and temperatures will be
a little higher today.
Thunderstorms are the other issue. Both today and Sunday look
primed for more thunderstorms across the region with more widespread
coverage than Friday. All thunderstorms should be wet thunderstorms
for all areas and places that do receive a thunderstorm should see
wetting rains in conjunction with the storms. The area of greatest
instability is expected to shift westward Sunday leaving the central
and eastern Copper River Basin at less risk of storms tomorrow.

AKZ101-160230-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
419 AM AKDT Sat Jun 15 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  40           40           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   71 (-1)      51 (+2)      71
RH % (24H TREND)   39-46 (-5)   82 (+1)      35-43
20FTWND(MPH)       NW 2-6       W 1-5        W 3-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5145                      4783
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)N  6                      SW  7
CWR                30           30           30
LAL                2            2            2
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  32330                     30191

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  40           40           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   74 (+2)      57 (+2)      74
RH % (24H TREND)   40-49 (0)    85 (+2)      41-49
20FTWND(MPH)       W 2-5        W 1-5        W 3-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5550                      4102
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NE  6                     SW  6
CWR                20           20           20
LAL                2            2            2
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  33385                     20964

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ111-160230-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
419 AM AKDT Sat Jun 15 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  60           60           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   64-71 (+1)   51 (+3)      66-72
RH % (24H TREND)   39-47 (-2)   72-78 (+1)   33-42
20FTWND(MPH)       N 2-7        LGT/VAR      SW 3-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5558                      5331
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NE  7                     SW  6
CWR                40           40           20
LAL                3            3            3
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  40686                     38800

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  50           50           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   76 (+2)      56 (+2)      77
RH % (24H TREND)   40-49 (+1)   75-83 (0)    39-49
20FTWND(MPH)       W 2-5        SW 2-6       SW 3-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6148                      5790
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NE  8                     SW  6
CWR                20           20           20
LAL                3            3            3
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  57112                     48719

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ121-160230-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
419 AM AKDT Sat Jun 15 2024

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  40           40           50
TEMP (24H TREND)   72-79 (+4)   55 (+3)      70-77
RH % (24H TREND)   34-40 (-1)   74-80 (0)    35-42
20FTWND(MPH)       NW 3-7       W 3-6        W 3-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6966                      5220
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)N  7                      W  8
CWR                30           20           30
LAL                3            3            2
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  50913                     40664

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  30           20           30
TEMP (24H TREND)   67-76 (+3)   55 (+1)      65-72
RH % (24H TREND)   36-49 (+2)   77-83 (+4)   48-59
20FTWND(MPH)       NW 3-8       SW 3-8       W 4-9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6343                      3377
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NW  7                     SW  9
CWR                10           10           10
LAL                2            2            2
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  48965                     29970

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ125-160230-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS
419 AM AKDT Sat Jun 15 2024

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  30           40           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   60-73 (+2)   45-51 (+1)   59-73
RH % (24H TREND)   36-53 (+1)   78-86 (+3)   35-49
20FTWND(MPH)       LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 1-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4331                      5881
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)W  5                      SE  8
CWR                20           20           20
LAL                3            3            2
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  22363                     47048

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  30           40           30
TEMP (24H TREND)   58-67 (-5)   50 (0)       58-66
RH % (24H TREND)   42-60 (+9)   84-93 (+4)   46-71
20FTWND(MPH)       W 1-5        W 1-7        SW 3-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1712                      3204
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NE  6                     SW  6
CWR                0            10           0
LAL                1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  9746                      25254

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ141-160230-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA
419 AM AKDT Sat Jun 15 2024

.ABOVE 2500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  50           40           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   50-67 (+2)   38-46 (+2)   52-70
RH % (24H TREND)   31-50 (-2)   60-74 (-9)   21-38
20FTWND(MPH)       NE 3-9       NE 2-7       SW 3-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7931                      8739
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NE  8                     NE  7
CWR                30           20           10
LAL                3            3            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  97365                     58792

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 2500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  50           30           0
TEMP (24H TREND)   76 (+2)      49 (+1)      79
RH % (24H TREND)   30 (-3)      65-71 (-5)   25
20FTWND(MPH)       NE 4-11      NE 3-9       LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8911                      8841
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NE 10                     E  5
CWR                30           20           0
LAL                3            3            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  109834                    59160

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ145-160230-
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW
419 AM AKDT Sat Jun 15 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  50           40           50
TEMP (24H TREND)   64-71 (+1)   50 (+2)      66-72
RH % (24H TREND)   35-42 (+1)   69-76 (-1)   26-42
20FTWND(MPH)       N 4-9        N 3-9        SW 3-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7161                      7479
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NE  9                     S  6
CWR                30           20           30
LAL                3            3            3
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  61797                     47754

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  40           30           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   78 (0)       55 (+2)      78
RH % (24H TREND)   28-34 (+3)   74-85 (+6)   34-42
20FTWND(MPH)       N 3-9        NW 3-8       S 3-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7864                      7216
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NE  9                     SE  6
CWR                20           20           20
LAL                3            3            3
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  73603                     41580

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$