Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
028
FNAK51 PAFC 151219
FWFAER
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
419 AM AKDT Sat Jun 15 2024
.DISCUSSION...There are two items of note for today. The first
is the combination of temperature, wind and RH in the Copper
River Basin. Yesterday approached Red Flag conditions for a time,
but didn`t reach them. Northerly winds will not be as strong as
yesterday, but RH will be a little lower and temperatures will be
a little higher today.
Thunderstorms are the other issue. Both today and Sunday look
primed for more thunderstorms across the region with more widespread
coverage than Friday. All thunderstorms should be wet thunderstorms
for all areas and places that do receive a thunderstorm should see
wetting rains in conjunction with the storms. The area of greatest
instability is expected to shift westward Sunday leaving the central
and eastern Copper River Basin at less risk of storms tomorrow.
AKZ101-160230-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
419 AM AKDT Sat Jun 15 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 40 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 71 (-1) 51 (+2) 71
RH % (24H TREND) 39-46 (-5) 82 (+1) 35-43
20FTWND(MPH) NW 2-6 W 1-5 W 3-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5145 4783
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)N 6 SW 7
CWR 30 30 30
LAL 2 2 2
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 32330 30191
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 40 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 74 (+2) 57 (+2) 74
RH % (24H TREND) 40-49 (0) 85 (+2) 41-49
20FTWND(MPH) W 2-5 W 1-5 W 3-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5550 4102
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NE 6 SW 6
CWR 20 20 20
LAL 2 2 2
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 33385 20964
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ111-160230-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
419 AM AKDT Sat Jun 15 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 60 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 64-71 (+1) 51 (+3) 66-72
RH % (24H TREND) 39-47 (-2) 72-78 (+1) 33-42
20FTWND(MPH) N 2-7 LGT/VAR SW 3-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5558 5331
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NE 7 SW 6
CWR 40 40 20
LAL 3 3 3
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 40686 38800
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 50 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 76 (+2) 56 (+2) 77
RH % (24H TREND) 40-49 (+1) 75-83 (0) 39-49
20FTWND(MPH) W 2-5 SW 2-6 SW 3-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6148 5790
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NE 8 SW 6
CWR 20 20 20
LAL 3 3 3
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 57112 48719
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ121-160230-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
419 AM AKDT Sat Jun 15 2024
.INLAND AREAS...
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 40 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 72-79 (+4) 55 (+3) 70-77
RH % (24H TREND) 34-40 (-1) 74-80 (0) 35-42
20FTWND(MPH) NW 3-7 W 3-6 W 3-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6966 5220
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)N 7 W 8
CWR 30 20 30
LAL 3 3 2
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 50913 40664
REMARKS...NONE.
.COASTAL AREAS...
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 20 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 67-76 (+3) 55 (+1) 65-72
RH % (24H TREND) 36-49 (+2) 77-83 (+4) 48-59
20FTWND(MPH) NW 3-8 SW 3-8 W 4-9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6343 3377
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NW 7 SW 9
CWR 10 10 10
LAL 2 2 2
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 48965 29970
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ125-160230-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS
419 AM AKDT Sat Jun 15 2024
.INLAND AREAS...
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 40 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 60-73 (+2) 45-51 (+1) 59-73
RH % (24H TREND) 36-53 (+1) 78-86 (+3) 35-49
20FTWND(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 1-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4331 5881
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)W 5 SE 8
CWR 20 20 20
LAL 3 3 2
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 22363 47048
REMARKS...NONE.
.COASTAL AREAS...
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 40 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 58-67 (-5) 50 (0) 58-66
RH % (24H TREND) 42-60 (+9) 84-93 (+4) 46-71
20FTWND(MPH) W 1-5 W 1-7 SW 3-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1712 3204
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NE 6 SW 6
CWR 0 10 0
LAL 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 9746 25254
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ141-160230-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA
419 AM AKDT Sat Jun 15 2024
.ABOVE 2500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 40 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 50-67 (+2) 38-46 (+2) 52-70
RH % (24H TREND) 31-50 (-2) 60-74 (-9) 21-38
20FTWND(MPH) NE 3-9 NE 2-7 SW 3-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7931 8739
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NE 8 NE 7
CWR 30 20 10
LAL 3 3 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 97365 58792
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 2500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 30 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 76 (+2) 49 (+1) 79
RH % (24H TREND) 30 (-3) 65-71 (-5) 25
20FTWND(MPH) NE 4-11 NE 3-9 LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8911 8841
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NE 10 E 5
CWR 30 20 0
LAL 3 3 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 109834 59160
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ145-160230-
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW
419 AM AKDT Sat Jun 15 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 40 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 64-71 (+1) 50 (+2) 66-72
RH % (24H TREND) 35-42 (+1) 69-76 (-1) 26-42
20FTWND(MPH) N 4-9 N 3-9 SW 3-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7161 7479
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NE 9 S 6
CWR 30 20 30
LAL 3 3 3
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 61797 47754
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 30 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 78 (0) 55 (+2) 78
RH % (24H TREND) 28-34 (+3) 74-85 (+6) 34-42
20FTWND(MPH) N 3-9 NW 3-8 S 3-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7864 7216
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NE 9 SE 6
CWR 20 20 20
LAL 3 3 3
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 73603 41580
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$