Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
897
FNAK51 PAFC 191232
FWFAER
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
432 AM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024
.DISCUSSION...
The best convective potential will be confined to the far northern
and western periphery of the Copper River Basin, where isolated
wet thunderstorms are possible both this afternoon and evening as
well as Thursday afternoon. Closer to the coast, areas across Cook
Inlet and Prince William Sound will be a bit more stable due to
the influence of a marine airmass over the northern Gulf. This
airmass will continue to move over the southern half of
Southcentral through Thursday as a front moves from Kodiak Island
northward. Southerly gap winds are likely by this afternoon. With
temperatures in the lower to mid 70s for the Copper River Basin,
any winds will act to lower min RH values to around 25% across the
base of the valley. Min RH values should rebound, however, as
winds diminish overnight before increasing again Thursday
afternoon. The Copper River Basin should see higher min RH values
for Thursday due to increased cloud cover and slightly cooler
temperatures.
AKZ101-200245-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
432 AM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (0) 44 (+2) 65
RH % (24H TREND) 47-56 (-6) 89 (-6) 48-58
20FTWND(MPH) W 3-6 SW 2-7 S 2-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3506 4609
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)S 7 SE 10
CWR 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 22108 50713
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 69 (+4) 47 (+3) 68
RH % (24H TREND) 42-51 (-2) 89 (-1) 45-52
20FTWND(MPH) W 4-8 SW 3-11 W 2-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3602 3590
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW 6 SE 7
CWR 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 20548 30393
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ111-200245-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
432 AM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 20 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 57-64 (-1) 44 (+3) 64
RH % (24H TREND) 44-55 (-10) 79-86 (-2) 49-64
20FTWND(MPH) W 3-7 W 1-8 SW 3-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4284 4231
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW 6 S 8
CWR 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 24619 42310
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 70 (+3) 46 (+1) 69
RH % (24H TREND) 39-47 (-5) 84-90 (0) 46-52
20FTWND(MPH) SW 3-8 SW 4-10 SW 3-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4670 4244
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW 6 S 7
CWR 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 26182 38532
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ121-200245-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
432 AM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024
.INLAND AREAS...
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS NONE SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 60-70 (-1) 44 (+2) 60-66
RH % (24H TREND) 38-48 (+5) 93 (0) 41-54
20FTWND(MPH) NW 3-7 W 3-7 N 2-8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5239 5402
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NE 7 E 10
CWR 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 30170 67132
REMARKS...NONE.
.COASTAL AREAS...
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 57-64 (+3) 45 (+1) 57-63
RH % (24H TREND) 48-64 (+3) 89-95 (0) 50-68
20FTWND(MPH) W 5-10 SW 6-12 W 5-10
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4104 3299
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NW 6 E 7
CWR 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 22634 29691
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ125-200245-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS
432 AM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024
.INLAND AREAS...
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 52-65 (+1) 43 (+2) 51-63
RH % (24H TREND) 38-54 (0) 86-92 (0) 44-63
20FTWND(MPH) SE 2-8 SE 3-9 E 4-12
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3987 3775
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SE 8 E 13
CWR 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 28938 46228
REMARKS...NONE.
.COASTAL AREAS...
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 70
TEMP (24H TREND) 49-58 (0) 46 (+2) 48-56
RH % (24H TREND) 56-73 (+2) 89-95 (+3) 63-82
20FTWND(MPH) SE 1-6 SE 2-7 E 2-8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2158 2259
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SE 6 E 9
CWR 0 0 30
LAL 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 16197 29367
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ141-200245-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA
432 AM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024
.ABOVE 2500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 40 60
TEMP (24H TREND) 47-66 (-4) 36-43 (+1) 48-66
RH % (24H TREND) 27-49 (+4) 72-84 (+11) 33-57
20FTWND(MPH) SW 3-9 SW 3-9 S 3-8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6395 7805
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW 7 S 9
CWR 20 10 20
LAL 2 2 2
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 46845 89648
REMARKS...Best chance for isolated wet thunderstorms will be over
the far northern and western reaches of the Copper River Basin.
.BELOW 2500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 20 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 74 (-3) 44 (0) 70
RH % (24H TREND) 20-26 (+2) 69-79 (+12) 30
20FTWND(MPH) SW 3-10 S 5-11 S 3-10
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7556 8756
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)S 7 S 9
CWR 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 51285 87090
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ145-200245-
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW
432 AM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 30 60
TEMP (24H TREND) 60-67 (0) 46 (+3) 63-69
RH % (24H TREND) 25-40 (-8) 72-78 (+1) 41-55
20FTWND(MPH) SW 5-9 SW 4-10 SW 4-12
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5516 7809
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)W 6 S 8
CWR 10 10 10
LAL 2 2 2
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 37486 54663
REMARKS...Any isolated wet thunderstorms will be over the far
northern portions of the Talkeetna Mountains.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 72 (+2) 46 (+2) 72
RH % (24H TREND) 28-36 (-3) 76-86 (+9) 39-46
20FTWND(MPH) S 3-8 S 6-9 S 5-10
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5607 5817
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)S 5 S 7
CWR 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 28633 44604
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$