847
FXAK69 PAFG 071305
AFDAFG

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
405 AM AKST Fri Nov 7 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Moisture from the Gulf of Alaska will continue to lift north across
the Interior through the Brooks Range to the Arctic Coast through
the weekend, supporting isolated to scattered snow chances.
Additional snow accumulations through Sunday are expected to be 1-3"
overall. Farther west, northerly flow will continue to support light
ocean effect snow showers along the West Coast today, primarily for
locations exposed to N/NW onshore flow, with snow accumulations up
to around a T-1". Increasing high pressure building into Western
Alaska later today will lead to drier conditions and clearer skies,
ahead of stronger winds and snow moving in Saturday into Saturday
night along the West Coast and St. Lawrence Island. Temperatures
will trend colder heading into early next week as conditions trend
predominantly dry outside of very isolated snow chances.

&&

.KEY WEATHER MESSAGES...

Central and Eastern Interior...

- Light snow continues through the weekend across the Interior,
  with additional accumulations around 1-3" through Sunday.

- Isolated snow chances shift east to along the Alcan Border for
  Monday as predominantly dry conditions return early next week.

- Cloudy skies continue to stabilize temperatures through the
  start of the weekend with highs in the teens and 20s and lows in
  the single digits and teens.

- Clearer skies early next week will support temperatures trending
  colder, as highs drop to the single digits and teens with lows
  in the single digits above and below zero. Coldest spots
  reaching the double digits below zero.

West Coast and Western Interior...

- Snow showers and N/NW winds continue along the West Coast today
  with light additional accumulations.

- Light snow continues through tonight across southeast portions
  of the Western Interior with additional accumulations around
  1-3".

- E/SE winds increase along the West Coast and St. Lawrence Island
  Saturday into Saturday night with up to Gale Force winds
  expected.

- Snow chances steadily increase for St. Lawrence Island and the
  Yukon Delta late Saturday into Saturday night, shifting north
  towards the Seward Peninsula for Sunday as the Northwest Coast
  remains predominantly dry.

- Highs in the teens inland to 20s along the coast and lows in the
  single digits inland to teens along the coast. Temperatures
  trend colder starting this weekend with lows below zero
  possible.

North Slope and Brooks Range...

- Light snow continues through the weekend, with additional
  accumulations up to around 1-3". Highest totals expected along
  the Arctic Coast and Central/Eastern Brooks Range.

- Isolated snow chances shift northeast for Monday to along the
  Arctic Coast and Alcan Border as predominantly dry conditions
  return early next week.

- Highs in the teens and 20s across the North Slope and single
  digits and teens in the Brooks Range, with lows in single digits
  and teens to below zero in the Brooks Range. Temperatures trend
  colder starting this weekend.

&&

.FORECAST ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION...Today through Sunday Night.
Early morning satellite imagery shows moisture from a low in the
Gulf of Alaska continuing to lift north across the eastern half of
the state, supporting scattered snow showers across the Interior.
Snow in the Central/Eastern Interior will progress north later
today into the Brooks Range and Eastern Arctic Coast, with a
secondary reinforcing wave of moisture over the Alaska Range
helping to keep snow chances going through Saturday. Additional
snow accumulations in this corridor through Saturday are expected
to remain light overall in that 1-3" range. As that low in the
northern Gulf weakens this weekend, a secondary 980 mb low will
lift north across the eastern Gulf and move into the Panhandle.
The bulk of moisture with this secondary system is expected to
move through Southeast Alaska into Western Canada, supporting some
isolated snow showers further east along the Alcan Border for
Sunday and Monday as conditions trend predominantly dry elsewhere.
Strengthening high pressure over the North Slope and Arctic Coast
will allow for colder air advection and an overall cooling and
drying pattern to set up over the mainland this weekend into early
next week.

Farther west, quiet and mostly dry conditions prevail across the
West Coast with light winds and isolated ocean effect snow
showers. Changes are on the way this weekend however as strong
offshore winds associated with a 940 mb low in the Central Bering
Sea shift east to the West Coast and St. Lawrence Island Saturday
into Sunday. In addition to strong winds up to gale force, a
frontal boundary lifting northeast late Saturday into Sunday will
support scattered to numerous snow chances for St. Lawrence Island
and the Yukon Delta. More isolated snow chances are expected
further north up to along the Seward Peninsula as conditions
remain predominantly dry across the Northwest Arctic Coast. E/SE
winds with this system will be strongest across the Yukon Delta
and at St. Lawrence Island, peaking around 20-40 mph with gusts to
40-60 mph over the weekend.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 2 and 3... This system in the
Bering Sea this weekend will bring elevated water levels above
the normal high tide line across the West Coast. The highest
water levels will be with the high tide each afternoon from Nunam
Iqua south including Scammon Bay, Hooper Bay, and Chevak. Winds
will be primarily offshore from the southeast, but larger than
normal tide cycles due to the nearly full moon and the strength of
the storm will bring in elevated water. The strongest winds will
not coincide with the highest water levels, so significant wave
run-up or coastal flooding are not expected. A Special Weather
Statement has been issued for this region to cover these impacts.

&&

.EXTENDED FORECAST DAYS 4-7...Monday through next Friday.
Ensemble model guidance remains in reasonable agreement through
mid next week, keeping conditions cold and dry across Northern
Alaska with only very isolated snow showers possible. A series of
low pressure systems in the Bering Sea and Northern Pacific Ocean
mid to late week will track northeast towards Western Alaska,
which even with the track and strength of these systems still
uncertain this far out, will support increasing snow chances later
in the week. This is reflected in our latest forecast with snow
chances returning to the West Coast and Western Interior starting
Wednesday, lifting northeast for Thursday and Friday.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None


&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AK...None.
PK...Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ808-812-855-861.
     Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ814-815-858>860.
&&

$$

MacKay