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FNAK79 PAFG 190248
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for Hermit 141...Alaska Fire Service
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
648 PM AKDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 AKDT on June 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...A Red Flag Warning is in effect until 10 PM.
Conditions remain hot and dry over most of the Yukon flats
including near the fire for the rest of the week with temperatures
remaining in the mid 70s to low 80s with RHs in the lower 30s or
below. There is a chance for thunderstorms and showers this
afternoon/evening and tomorrow. Thunderstorms have a greater
chance of forming through this evening and may cause wetting rain,
hail, gusty winds, and frequent lightning. Winds will be light
except during showers and thunderstorms.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then
                    isolated showers and thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................12 percent.
LAL.................4.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......West 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 8 mph.
Inversion setup.....Midnight.

.JUNETEENTH...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Isolated rain
                    showers through the day. Isolated thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the morning.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......West wind 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL increasing to 7800 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 11 mph.
Inversion burnoff...9 AM.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms in the evening. Slight chance of
                    rain showers through the night. Slight chance
                    of thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the evening. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms overnight.
Ridgetop wind.......West 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......7800 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 6 mph.
Inversion setup.....Midnight.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Northeast winds around 6 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 80. East winds
around 6 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms and isolated
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Light
winds.

$$
Forecaster...CHAMBERS
Requested by...Emmaly Gavin
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416243.4/AFG
.DELDT 06/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0