341
FXUS61 KALY 020524
AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Albany NY
124 AM EDT Sun Nov 2 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Gusty winds will diminish for tonight as a storm system over
Atlantic Canada continues to depart. With high pressure building
into the area, dry and cool weather is expected for Sunday.
Milder temperatures are expected by Monday, although a passing
cold front will bring some showers by late Monday into Monday
night.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 150 PM EDT...Visible satellite imagery continues to show
widespread stratocu over the region, as cyclonic flow is
bringing plenty of moisture off the eastern Great Lakes. Radar
imagery still shows a few light rain showers over the Mohawk and
Schoharie Valleys, but any precip is very light and brief. With
a decent pressure gradient still in place, westerly winds are
still be gusty, with many spots still showing gusts of 20 to 30
mph.

For tonight, the storm system over Atlantic Canada will depart
and surface high pressure will start building into the area.
With lowering inversion heights, any lingering light showers
will diminish. Cloud cover will start to improve overnight as
well, although it will may be mostly cloudy for a good part of
the overnight for western areas. Lows will fall into the mid 20s
to mid 30s across the region.

On Sunday, high pressure will allow for a partly to mostly sunny
sky. Winds will be much lighter than the past few days with
highs in the mid 40s to mid 50s. It will remain dry and quiet
into Sunday night with a mostly clear sky and lows in the 30s as
the high pressure area starts sliding offshore New England.

A frontal boundary will be approaching for Monday from the Great
Lakes. The southerly winds ahead of the storm system will allow
for a milder airmass, with valley areas reaching near 60
degrees. Although the day will start out mainly sunny with no
precip, there will be an increasing chance for showers as the
day goes on with increasing clouds from west to east. South to
southwest winds will be breezy by Monday afternoon, with some
gusts up to 25 mph. Highest POPs are across northwestern areas,
although any precip will be fairly light. The front will cross
Monday night, with some additional showers, especially for
northern areas. Winds will turn westerly behind the front with
lows falling into the mid 30s to low 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Behind the departing cold front, it will be a little cooler and
breezy for Tuesday. Westerly winds will be gusty, especially
during the afternoon, with some gusts up to 30 mph possible.
Temps will be in the 40s and 50s for highs with decreasing
clouds through the day.

Another northern stream system looks to be impacting the region
on Wednesday with some additional light rain showers. Temps will
continue to be fairly seasonable. After another brief break on
Thursday, more unsettled weather may impact the region during
the late week. At this point, the pattern appears active, but
not overly impactful and no guidance or ensembles suggests heavy
precip at this time. Daytime temps will continue to be close to
normal with highs in the 40s and 50s during the extended period,
with mainly 30s at night.

&&

.AVIATION /05Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 06z/Mon...While high pressure gradually builds into the
Northeast through tomorrow, a continued westerly wind fetch off
the lakes in the 925-850hPa layer will support few-sct stratocu
clouds between 3500-4000 ft through 18-21 UTC. PSF could see
periodic MVFR cigs 14-20 UTC/02 but not enough confidence to
include in the latest TAF. Then, winds back by 20-21 UTC to the
southwest enough that skies clear. Additional cirrus clouds
graze POU shortly after 00 UTC/03 as a disturbance passes to
south. Light and variable winds through 14-15 UTC before
westerly winds increase with sustained winds 5-8kts and gusts
reach 15-20 kts (strongest ALB/PSF) before gradually weakening.

Outlook...

Monday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Breezy. Chance of RA.
Tuesday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of RA.
Wednesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Likely RA.
Thursday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of RA.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...27
SHORT TERM...27
LONG TERM...27
AVIATION...35