Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
131 FXUS64 KAMA 071742 AFDAMA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Amarillo TX 1142 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025 ...New KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1124 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025 No impactful weather expected within the next seven days. && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Monday night) Issued at 1124 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025 Persistent cloud cover in the NE zone of our CWA will aid in keeping temperatures much below normal. While the rest of the Panhandles should reside in the 50`s, our northeastern counties may not rise above the 40`s for highs today. Clouds will erode slowly today and winds should continue to be light. Lows tonight should increase slightly into the 30`s, but mostly clear skies overnight will allow a few areas to dip into the 20`s again. Tomorrow, surface winds flip back from the southwest and highs will increase to the upper 50`s and lower 60`s. Rangel && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through next Saturday) Issued at 1124 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025 Northwest flow will continue over our area this week as the upper level trough evolves across the eastern CONUS. Forecast mid level temperatures increase on Tuesday and possibly also Thursday this week. Meanwhile, there are still some uncertainties as to how much WAA will factor into the temperature shift. Tuesday still looks to be breezy given model confidence of a tightening pressure gradient from a surface low set to develop off the lee side of the Rockies in SE Colorado and NE New Mexico. However, the latest 12Z NBM shows winds lower than older runs across the CWA. Even the 90th Percentile struggles to bring winds up to 15 kts during the afternoon. The probability of reaching 70 degrees is low on Tuesday, except for PDC, but we won`t rule out additional locations exiting the 60`s if the winds end up stronger than forecast. (When does that ever happen...) The rest of the week still looks to support benign weather conditions. Thursday looks to be as warm as Tuesday, even though our next cold front is progged to move through the High Plains Thursday afternoon. More long range ensemble members are showing some higher confidence of colder temperatures this weekend, and even the NBM is slowly catching on to the new trend. Though moisture still looks to remain absent, we may have another chance to be removed from these above normal temperatures. Rangel && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1124 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025 No major chances were made for the 18Z TAF period. VFR conditions prevail for the next 24 hours. Surface winds will be light and somewhat variable. Cloud decks should will remain above the first 10,000 ft. Rangel && .AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. OK...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...55 LONG TERM....55 AVIATION...55